Model: TIPPSH
Hills United FC – Blacktown Spartans
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.75
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 23, 2026 11:00 AM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 3d 12h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.53% · n=669
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -2.58% · n=51
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 3d 23h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Hills United FC | Blacktown Spartans |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-L-W-W-W | D-W-D-L-W |
| Avg goals scored | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Home/Away form | D-W-L (home) | D-D-W-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.33 scored / 1.33 conceded | 1.25 scored / 1.50 conceded |
| Shots on target | 9.80 for / 6.60 against | 5.20 for / 4.80 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 9.00 for / 8.33 against (home) | 6.67 for / 5.67 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Hills United FC has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.10First seen
Current2.80Now
Max odds3.45Highest point
Min odds2.80Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
Hills United FC – Blacktown Spartans Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.75. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.53% across 669 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -2.58% across 51 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample6
Win Rate50.0%
Profit+1.95u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Island Bay United - Petone FC | 2.68 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Sao Goncalo - Cabofriense | 2.78 | 4.53% |
| WIN | Mlandege FC - Uhamiaji FC | 2.57 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Gimnasia Mendoza Reserves - Atletico Tucuman Reserves | 2.50 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | Ural - Dynamo Makhachkala | 2.56 | 3.15% |
| WIN | USM Alger - Olympique Akbou | 2.70 | 2.49% |
Pick
1 @ 2.75
Kickoff
Mag 23, 2026 11:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.53% • n=669
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-2.58% • n=51
Start
Started 3d 12h ago
Updated
Updated 3d 23h ago