Hills United FC – Blacktown Spartans

Model: TIPPSH

Hills United FC vs Blacktown Spartans

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.75
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 23, 2026 11:00 AM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 72d 19h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.53% · n=669
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -2.58% · n=51
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 73d 6h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Hills United FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Hills United FCGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

24/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.10First seen
Current2.80Now
Max odds3.45Highest point
Min odds2.80Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Hills United FCHOME
VS
Blacktown SpartansAWAY
DLWWW
Recent form
DWDLW
Avg goals scored
2.00
1.60
Defensive weakness
1.80
1.40
Shots on target for
9.80
5.20
SoT conceded pressure
6.60
4.80
Home splitD-W-L1.33 scored / 1.33 conceded
Away splitD-D-W-L1.25 scored / 1.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.75. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -2.58% based on n=51 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia New South Wales League 1 (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.75
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.53% · n=669
V4 BandNONEROI -2.58% · n=51
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Hills United FC. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Hills United FC has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 37.1% 7D: 21.3% 15D: 11.2% 30D: 4.0%
Model insight

Hills United FC – Blacktown Spartans Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.75. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.53% across 669 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -2.58% across 51 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample56
Win Rate41.1%
Profit+6.26u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINHB Torshavn - NSI Runavik2.552.49%
LOSSLaholms FK - FC Trollhättan2.884.53%
WINCroydon Athletic - Burgess Hill Town3.004.53%
LOSSHuntsville City - Crown Legacy2.834.53%
LOSSAldosivi - Gimnasia LP3.004.53%
LOSSEstudiantes Rio Cuarto - Banfield2.663.15%
WINGimnasia Mendoza - Union Santa Fe3.002.04%
LOSSIndependiente FBC - Deportivo Capiata2.764.53%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Sonderjyske - Viborg12.914.53%07 Aug 19:00
ACS UTA Batrana Doamna - Rapid Bucuresti12.552.49%07 Aug 20:00
Ljungskile - IK Oddevold12.562.49%08 Aug 13:00
Pick
1 @ 2.75
Kickoff
Mag 23, 2026 11:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.53% • n=669
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-2.58% • n=51
Start
Started 72d 19h ago
Updated
Updated 73d 6h ago
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