HNK Segesta – NK Osijek

Model: TipTromba7H

HNK Segesta vs NK Osijek

PREDICTION
1
@ 6.25
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffSet 09, 2026 6:30 PM
ResultWIN3 - 1
StartStarted 13h 37m ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.46% · n=43
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 21h 27m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is HNK Segesta. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: HNK SegestaGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.055 | A: -0.071

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Balanced

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

56/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds7.65First seen
Current6.28Now
Max odds7.65Highest point
Min odds6.28Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

HNK SegestaHOME
VS
NK OsijekAWAY
WLDLW
Recent form
LLWLW
Avg goals scored
4.20
1.20
Defensive weakness
1.00
2.20
Shots on target for
3.20
5.80
SoT conceded pressure
3.40
5.40
Home splitW-D-W-W-W3.20 scored / 0.40 conceded
Away splitL-L-L-W-W2.00 scored / 2.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 6.25. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.46% based on n=43 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Croatia Cup (hr). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd6.25
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.46% · n=43
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: 3.9% 7D: 4.6% 15D: 4.7% 30D: 5.3%
Model insight

HNK Segesta – NK Osijek Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 6.25. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba7H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.46% across 43 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample25
Win Rate20.0%
Profit+6.50u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINRoltek DOB - ND Slovan Ljubljana6.002.68%
LOSSBallyclare Comrades (W) - Bangor FC (W)6.502.46%
LOSSOman U20 - Saudi Arabia U206.502.46%
LOSSRyutsu Keizai Dragons - Aries Toshima FC6.002.68%
LOSSBeaucouze U19 - Nantes U196.502.46%
LOSSBanaat FC (W) - Nasaf Qarshi (W)6.002.68%
LOSSCSM Targu Jiu - CSM Ramnicu Valcea6.502.46%
LOSSHolywell Town - Connah's Quay6.252.46%
Pick
1 @ 6.25
Kickoff
Set 09, 2026 6:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.46% • n=43
Start
Started 13h 37m ago
Updated
Updated 21h 27m ago
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