Model: TIPPSH

Reilac Shiga vs Tokyo Verdy

PREDICTION

@ 4.60

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffSet 09, 2026 1:30 PM

ResultLOSS0 - 1

StartStarted 18h 27m ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 0.63% · n=79

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 21h 17m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Reilac Shiga. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Reilac ShigaGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.050 | A: 0.027

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

48/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds5.75First seen

Current4.60Now

Max odds5.75Highest point

Min odds4.50Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Reilac ShigaHOME

Tokyo VerdyAWAY

LWLLW

Recent form

WDLLW

Avg goals scored

1.20

1.00

Defensive weakness

1.20

1.00

Shots on target for

4.80

2.40

SoT conceded pressure

4.40

4.00

Home splitL-L-W-L-W0.60 scored / 1.20 conceded

Away splitW-D-D-D-W0.60 scored / 0.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.60. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 0.63% based on n=79 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Japan J-League Cup (jp). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd4.60

V2 BandLOWROI 0.63% · n=79

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The current odds imply an underdog profile, although recent performances indicate a more competitive matchup. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Reilac Shiga's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 3.9% 7D: 4.6% 15D: 4.7% 30D: 5.3%

Model insight

Reilac Shiga – Tokyo Verdy Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.60. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 0.63% across 79 similar predictions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample6

Win Rate0.0%

Profit-6.00u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	FC Porto - Man City	4.48	0.63%
LOSS	Plymouth - Coventry	4.51	0.63%
LOSS	Torino - AC Milan	4.38	0.63%
LOSS	FK Teplice - Viktoria Plzen	4.66	0.63%
LOSS	HSC Hannover - Kickers Emden	4.73	0.63%
LOSS	Vasas SC - Gyori ETO	4.35	0.63%

Pick

1 @ 4.60

Kickoff

Set 09, 2026 1:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 0.63% • n=79

Start

Started 18h 27m ago

Updated

Updated 21h 17m ago