Hobro IK – Aarhus Fremad

Model: TIPPSA

Hobro IK – Aarhus Fremad

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.71
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 14, 2026 3:00 PM
ResultWIN0 - 3
StartStarted 12d 10h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.92% · n=178
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 12d 13h ago

Team Form & Goal Trends

Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.

Metric Hobro IK Aarhus Fremad
Last 5 form L-D-D-W-L W-D-W-L-W
Avg goals scored 1.20 1.80
Avg goals conceded 1.80 0.40
Home/Away form L-D-L-L (home) W-W-L-L (away)
Home/Away avg goals 1.00 scored / 2.25 conceded 1.25 scored / 1.25 conceded
Shots on target 4.40 for / 6.40 against 6.40 for / 2.20 against
Home/Away shots on target 4.50 for / 6.25 against (home) 6.00 for / 3.75 against (away)

AI Match Insight

While the odds remain elevated, the underlying metrics suggest the selection may be more competitive than the market implies. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Aarhus Fremad is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.28First seen
Current2.71Now
Max odds2.71Highest point
Min odds2.28Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight

Hobro IK – Aarhus Fremad Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.71. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.92% across 178 similar predictions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample15
Win Rate40.0%
Profit+0.58u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSPhiladelphia Union II - Atlanta United II2.510.84%
WINStjarnan - Fram Reykjavik2.550.84%
WINDynamo Makhachkala - Rostov2.691.92%
LOSSCharleroi - Genk2.581.92%
LOSSSlovan Sabinov - FC Kosice B2.641.92%
WINTIL 2020 Women - Viking FK (W)2.581.92%
LOSS2 de Mayo - Guarani Asuncion2.471.92%
LOSSErzgebirge Aue - Wehen SV2.571.92%
Pick
2 @ 2.71
Kickoff
Mag 14, 2026 3:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.92% • n=178
Start
Started 12d 10h ago
Updated
Updated 12d 13h ago
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