Throttur Reykjavik (W) – Valur Reykjavik (W)

Model: TIPPSH

Throttur Reykjavik (W) vs Valur Reykjavik (W)

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.10
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 12, 2026 11:15 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 1d
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 5h 13m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Throttur Reykjavik (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Throttur Reykjavik (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: -0.036 | A: -0.155

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

30/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.68First seen
Current2.10Now
Max odds2.10Highest point
Min odds1.68Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Throttur Reykjavik (W)HOME
VS
Valur Reykjavik (W)AWAY
DDWLL
Recent form
WLLLD
Avg goals scored
1.00
1.00
Defensive weakness
1.40
2.80
Shots on target for
5.20
4.00
SoT conceded pressure
8.00
8.00
Home splitD-W-L-W-D0.60 scored / 0.40 conceded
Away splitL-L-D-W-L1.20 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.10. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Iceland Premier League Women (is). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.10
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Throttur Reykjavik (W)'s attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.
3D: -54.8% 7D: 5.9% 15D: 7.8% 30D: 9.8%
Model insight

Throttur Reykjavik (W) – Valur Reykjavik (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.10. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample538
Win Rate47.8%
Profit-8.22u
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WINPlanalto EC (W) - Pantanal (W)2.121.04%
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Pick
1 @ 2.10
Kickoff
Ago 12, 2026 11:15 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Start
Starts in 1d
Updated
Updated 5h 13m ago
Torna in alto