IF Gnistan (W) – Ilves (W)

Model: TipA1

IF Gnistan (W) vs Ilves (W)

PREDICTION
2
@ 2.00
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 17, 2026 2:00 PM
ResultWIN2 - 3
StartStarted 55d 5h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.48% · n=553
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 55d 16h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Ilves (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Ilves (W)

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

19/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.00First seen
Current2.01Now
Max odds2.10Highest point
Min odds2.00Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

IF Gnistan (W)HOME
VS
Ilves (W)AWAY
LLLWW
Recent form
WLLLW
Avg goals scored
2.20
2.00
Defensive weakness
3.80
2.20
Shots on target for
4.60
6.60
SoT conceded pressure
8.40
6.40
Home splitL-L-W-L2.25 scored / 3.50 conceded
Away splitW-L-L1.67 scored / 2.67 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.00. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.48% based on n=553 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Finland Kansallinen Liiga Women (fi). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick2
Odd2.00
V2 BandNONEROI -1.48% · n=553
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Ilves (W)'s attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 26.7% 7D: 13.2% 15D: 5.3% 30D: 2.2%
Model insight

IF Gnistan (W) – Ilves (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.00. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -1.48% across 553 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample159
Win Rate50.3%
Profit+7.35u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSDefensa y Justicia U20 - Belgrano U202.20-1.48%
WINSt. James Swifts (W) - Sion Swifts (W)2.05-3.85%
LOSSHolland Park Hawks U23 - North Star U232.10-3.85%
WINOsasco Sporting U20 - Ibrachina U202.00-1.48%
LOSSSelfoss/Arborg U19 - Grotta/Kria U192.10-1.48%
LOSSPonte Preta U20 - Santos U202.10-1.48%
LOSSFC Honka (W) - EBK (W)2.05-3.85%
LOSSRockdale Ilinden FC U20 - NWS Spirit FC U202.10-3.85%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
FK Atyrau - FC Elimai Semey22.15-1.48%12 Jul 16:00
JK Nomme United II - FC Flora Tallinn II22.15-1.48%12 Jul 18:00
Pick
2 @ 2.00
Kickoff
Mag 17, 2026 2:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.48% • n=553
Start
Started 55d 5h ago
Updated
Updated 55d 16h ago
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