Model: TipA1
Ina Goleniow – Chemik Police
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.80
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 30, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultWIN1 - 3
StartStarted 26d 4h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.78% · n=16
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.78% · n=16
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 26d 16h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Ina Goleniow | Chemik Police |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L | W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| Home/Away form | L (home) | W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.00 scored / 3.00 conceded | 3.00 scored / 1.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 6.00 for / 12.00 against | 12.00 for / 6.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 6.00 for / 12.00 against (home) | 12.00 for / 6.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Although the odds are relatively high, Chemik Police shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Chemik Police has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.30First seen
Current2.86Now
Max odds2.90Highest point
Min odds2.30Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Ina Goleniow – Chemik Police Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.80. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.78% and 4.78%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample45
Win Rate42.2%
Profit+4.35u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | SV Estrella - SV River Plate | 2.70 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | Newmarket - Moggill | 2.60 | 4.27% |
| WIN | Internacional U20 (W) - Flamengo U20 (W) | 2.63 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | Olimpia Cluj (W) - FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc (W) | 2.60 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | CD Platense Reserves - Motagua Reserves | 2.70 | 4.39% |
| LOSS | JK Nomme United II - FC Elva | 2.70 | 4.39% |
| WIN | Dandenong Thunder U23 - St Albans Saints U23 | 2.55 | 4.99% |
| LOSS | Hinna - Haugesund 2 | 2.70 | 4.39% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mjällby AIF - Djurgarden | 2 | 2.70 | 4.27% | 31 May 16:30 |
Pick
2 @ 2.80
Kickoff
Apr 30, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.78% • n=16
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.78% • n=16
Start
Started 26d 4h ago
Updated
Updated 26d 16h ago