Model: TipA1

Ina Goleniow vs Chemik Police

PREDICTION

@ 2.30

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffApr 30, 2026 8:00 PM

ResultWIN1 - 3

StartStarted 72d 5h ago

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.67% · n=70

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.67% · n=70

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 73d 1h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Chemik Police. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Chemik Police

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

51/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.30First seen

Current2.30Now

Max odds2.38Highest point

Min odds2.30Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Ina GoleniowHOME

Chemik PoliceAWAY

Recent form

Avg goals scored

1.00

3.00

Defensive weakness

3.00

1.00

Shots on target for

6.00

12.00

SoT conceded pressure

12.00

6.00

Home splitL1.00 scored / 3.00 conceded

Away splitW3.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.30. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.67% based on n=70 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Poland IV Liga (pl). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Medium volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.30

V2 BandHIGHROI 6.67% · n=70

V4 BandHIGHROI 6.67% · n=70

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. The confidence band strengthens the case for the pick beyond the basic market price. Chemik Police has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: -21.6% 7D: 3.5% 15D: 2.1% 30D: 14.0%

Model insight

Ina Goleniow – Chemik Police Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.30. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.67% and 6.67%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample34

Win Rate32.4%

Profit-7.62u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Brasil de Pelotas U20 - CF Com Vida Saf U20	2.40	6.36%
LOSS	EC Juventude U20 - Internacional U20	2.25	6.36%
LOSS	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Arda Kardzhali	2.38	6.36%
LOSS	JS Hercules - FC Vaajakoski	2.25	6.36%
LOSS	MSK Zilina - Pardubice	2.45	6.36%
LOSS	Real Central NJ - Delaware FC	2.35	6.36%
WIN	Rochedale Rovers U23 - Moreton City Excelsior U23	2.40	7.37%
WIN	Amman FC U19 (W) - Nashama Al-Mustaqbal U19 (W)	2.50	6.67%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
JK Tammeka Tartu II - JK Trans Narva II	2	2.35	7.37%	12 Jul 16:00

Pick

2 @ 2.30

Kickoff

Apr 30, 2026 8:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 6.67% • n=70

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

6.67% • n=70

Start

Started 72d 5h ago

Updated

Updated 73d 1h ago