Model: TIPPSH
Indy Eleven vs Birmingham Legion FC
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.75
StatusUpcoming
KickoffSet 06, 2026 3:00 AM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 2d 22h
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 9m ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Indy Eleven. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Indy ElevenGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.030 | A: 0.111Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
26/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.75First seen
Current1.75Now
Max odds1.77Highest point
Min odds1.71Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Indy ElevenHOME
VS
Birmingham Legion FCAWAY
LWWDL
Recent form
LLLWL
Avg goals scored
1.20
1.60
Defensive weakness
1.40
2.20
Shots on target for
4.20
3.60
SoT conceded pressure
5.40
7.60
Home splitW-D-L-W-W1.40 scored / 0.60 conceded
Away splitL-L-L-D-D1.40 scored / 2.00 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.75. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to USA USL Championship (us). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.
Pick1
Odd1.75
V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium
AI Match Insight
The short price is supported by recent form data, with Indy Eleven showing a clearer performance edge. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.
Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -7.7%
7D: 0.5%
15D: 16.2%
30D: 6.7%
Model insight
Indy Eleven – Birmingham Legion FC Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.75. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample552
Win Rate50.2%
Profit-35.53u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Baltika Kaliningrad - Krylia Sovetov | 1.86 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Slovacko II - SFK Vrchovina | 1.88 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | HNK Rijeka U19 - Kustosija U19 | 1.88 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Campobasso - Scafatese | 1.97 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Montevideo Wanderers - Cerro | 2.00 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Ballymena Utd Reserves - Dungannon Swifts Reserves | 1.80 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | FK Iskra Danilovgrad - FK Zeta Golubovci | 1.96 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Anstey Nomads - Banbury | 1.75 | 1.31% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Istra 1961 - Slaven Belupo | 1 | 1.97 | 1.04% | 15 Aug 18:30 |
| NK Osijek - NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 1 | 1.98 | 1.31% | 15 Aug 21:00 |
| Alajuelense (W) - Saprissa (W) | 1 | 1.75 | 1.04% | 20 Aug 04:00 |
| Tondela - Academica | 1 | 1.90 | 1.04% | 21 Aug 21:15 |
| Chaves - AVS | 1 | 1.93 | 1.04% | 23 Aug 12:00 |
| LASK Linz - Celtic | 1 | 1.88 | 1.04% | 25 Aug 21:00 |
| Toluca - Leon | 1 | 1.87 | 1.31% | 03 Sep 03:00 |
Pick
1 @ 1.75
Kickoff
Set 06, 2026 3:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.31% • n=2537
Start
Starts in 2d 22h
Updated
Updated 9m ago