Model: TipTromba2H

Irtysh Pavlodar (W) vs Tobol Kostanay (W)

PREDICTION

@ 1.50

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 03, 2026 3:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 7h 41m

V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.49% · n=235

V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 6.49% · n=235

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 10m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Irtysh Pavlodar (W). This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Irtysh Pavlodar (W)Goal/Shots Index — H: — | A: -0.092

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

40/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Irtysh Pavlodar (W)HOME

Tobol Kostanay (W)AWAY

DLLW

Recent form

WLLW

Avg goals scored

1.25

Defensive weakness

1.75

4.25

Shots on target for

8.75

5.25

SoT conceded pressure

6.00

10.25

Home splitL-L1.00 scored / 2.50 conceded

Away splitL0.00 scored / 3.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.50. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 6.49% based on n=235 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Kazakhstan Super League Women (kz). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.50

V2 BandHIGHROI 6.49% · n=235

V4 BandHIGHROI 6.49% · n=235

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

At a short price, the selection appears more probability-based than value-driven. Historical model data adds support here, as similar HIGH selections have produced encouraging results. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Irtysh Pavlodar (W)'s attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 55.9% 7D: 15.0% 15D: 7.5% 30D: 10.7%

Model insight

Irtysh Pavlodar (W) – Tobol Kostanay (W) Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.50. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 6.49% and 6.49%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample65

Win Rate70.8%

Profit+10.45u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Wigry Suwalki - LKS Lodz II	1.75	6.89%
LOSS	Santos Laguna U19 (W) - Necaxa U19 (W)	1.75	6.89%
WIN	West Canberra Wanderers FC (W) - Majura FC (W)	1.50	6.49%
WIN	Libertad Asuncion Reserves - Deportivo Recoleta Reserves	1.75	7.35%
WIN	FC Kitzbuhel - FC Lustenau	1.67	6.49%
LOSS	Gold Coast Knights (W) - Lions FC (W)	1.57	6.49%
LOSS	Vard Haugesund - Sogndal 2	1.75	7.35%
WIN	Essendon Royals (W) - Melbourne Victory NPL (W)	1.55	6.49%

Pick

1 @ 1.50

Kickoff

Ago 03, 2026 3:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: HIGH

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 6.49% • n=235

Confidence V4

CONF V4: HIGH

Exp. ROI V4

6.49% • n=235

Start

Starts in 7h 41m

Updated

Updated 10m ago