Model: TIPPSH

Bourg-Peronnas vs Villefranche

PREDICTION

@ 2.08

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 07, 2026 10:45 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 4d 14h

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 10m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Bourg-Peronnas. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Bourg-PeronnasGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.021 | A: —

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

29/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Bourg-PeronnasHOME

VillefrancheAWAY

LDWWL

Recent form

DLLWD

Avg goals scored

0.80

1.00

Defensive weakness

0.80

1.40

Shots on target for

4.00

2.60

SoT conceded pressure

3.60

5.60

Home splitL-W-W-L-W0.80 scored / 0.80 conceded

Away splitD-L-L-D0.50 scored / 1.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.08. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to France National (fr). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.08

V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=5438

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The price is not extreme, and recent results provide a reasonable statistical basis for the pick. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative. Bourg-Peronnas is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 59.8% 7D: 13.7% 15D: 7.5% 30D: 10.4%

Model insight

Bourg-Peronnas – Villefranche Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.08. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample458

Win Rate47.6%

Profit-11.67u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	St Louis City II - Real Monarchs SLC	1.83	1.04%
LOSS	Real Frontera - Atletico El Vigia	2.04	1.04%
LOSS	Bollstanäs SK - IK Franke	2.10	1.31%
WIN	Aragua - Bolivar SC	2.30	1.59%
WIN	Reipas - PPJ	1.85	1.04%
WIN	Spartak Pleven - Marek Dupnitsa	2.22	1.04%
WIN	Sunderland - Wrexham	1.92	1.04%
LOSS	Darmstadt - Portsmouth	1.91	1.31%

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Pick

1 @ 2.08

Kickoff

Ago 07, 2026 10:45 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438

Start

Starts in 4d 14h

Updated

Updated 10m ago