Model: TipTromba35H

Lyngby vs AGF Aarhus

PREDICTION

@ 3.40

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 01, 2026 8:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 2d 13h

V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 8.81% · n=117

V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 8.81% · n=117

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 11m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Lyngby. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: LyngbyGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.042 | A: 0.046

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

69/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds3.80First seen

Current3.40Now

Max odds3.82Highest point

Min odds3.40Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

LyngbyHOME

AGF AarhusAWAY

LWWWL

Recent form

WDLWW

Avg goals scored

2.60

2.40

Defensive weakness

1.60

1.20

Shots on target for

7.20

5.60

SoT conceded pressure

6.00

3.40

Home splitW-L-L-W-W2.80 scored / 1.60 conceded

Away splitW-W-D-L-W2.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.40. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 8.81% based on n=117 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Denmark Superligaen (dk). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1

Odd3.40

V2 BandELITEROI 8.81% · n=117

V4 BandELITEROI 8.81% · n=117

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. The ELITE confidence band is important here: similar higher-priced setups have historically produced positive model results. Lyngby has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -28.0% 7D: -15.4% 15D: 6.8% 30D: 9.3%

Model insight

Lyngby – AGF Aarhus Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.40. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba35H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show ELITE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 8.81% and 8.81%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample23

Win Rate39.1%

Profit+6.75u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	RAAL La Louviere - Samsunspor	3.25	8.81%
WIN	Wycombe - Portsmouth	3.30	9.25%
LOSS	Sudtirol - Kaiserslautern	3.25	8.81%
LOSS	Crusaders Strikers (W) - Lisburn Rangers (W)	3.25	8.81%
WIN	Itaquaquecetuba U20 - Jacarei FC U20	3.30	8.81%
WIN	FUS Rabat - RSB Berkane	3.30	8.81%
WIN	Presidente Hayes - CS Limpeno	3.40	8.81%
LOSS	Forfar - Montrose	3.25	8.81%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Fortuna Dusseldorf II - TSV Steinbach	1	3.25	8.81%	31 Jul 14:00
SV Donau - Kremser SC	1	3.25	9.25%	31 Jul 19:00

Pick

1 @ 3.40

Kickoff

Ago 01, 2026 8:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: ELITE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 8.81% • n=117

Confidence V4

CONF V4: ELITE

Exp. ROI V4

8.81% • n=117

Start

Starts in 2d 13h

Updated

Updated 11m ago