Iwaki FC – Matsumoto Y FC

Model: TIPPSA

Iwaki FC vs Matsumoto Y FC

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.40
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 17, 2026 9:00 AM
ResultLOSS1 - 1
StartStarted 55d 2h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.94% · n=186
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 55d 5h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Matsumoto Y FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Matsumoto Y FC

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

48/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.25First seen
Current3.65Now
Max odds4.20Highest point
Min odds3.25Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Iwaki FCHOME
VS
Matsumoto Y FCAWAY
DLLDL
Recent form
DDWLD
Avg goals scored
0.80
1.00
Defensive weakness
1.40
0.60
Shots on target for
3.00
3.40
SoT conceded pressure
4.60
2.40
Home splitD-L-L-W0.50 scored / 0.75 conceded
Away splitD-W-L1.67 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.40. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.94% based on n=186 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Japan J2/J3 Centennial League (jp). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd3.40
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.94% · n=186
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Matsumoto Y FC. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 7.9% 7D: 13.5% 15D: 0.1% 30D: 0.7%
Model insight

Iwaki FC – Matsumoto Y FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.40. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.94% across 186 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample40
Win Rate30.0%
Profit+0.20u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
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LOSSEgypt - Russia3.274.77%
LOSSRapid Vienna - SV Ried3.294.77%
WINAmerica MG - Vila Nova3.333.84%
LOSSLos Angeles FC - Seattle Sounders3.654.77%
LOSSSlavia Prague - Viktoria Plzen3.494.77%
Pick
2 @ 3.40
Kickoff
Mag 17, 2026 9:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.94% • n=186
Start
Started 55d 2h ago
Updated
Updated 55d 5h ago
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