Jagiellonia Bialystok vs Sparta Prague
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Sparta Prague. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Sparta PragueValue Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.40. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.27% based on n=1151 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
Despite entering the match at a generous price, Sparta Prague has produced enough positive indicators to justify attention. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction.
Jagiellonia Bialystok – Sparta Prague Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | CFD La Nororiental - Molino Viejo | 2.45 | 4.27% |
| WIN | EDO ALL United - Nankatsu SC | 2.25 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | Central Ballester - General Lamadrid | 2.30 | 4.27% |
| WIN | Orange County SC - Colorado Switchbacks FC | 2.25 | 4.27% |
| WIN | Anapolis FC - Maringa FC | 2.30 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | Union FC Macomb - AFC Ann Arbor | 2.25 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | ABB U19 - CDT Real Oruro U19 | 2.63 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | Qingdao Hainiu U20 - Nantong Zhiyun U20 | 2.25 | 4.27% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Konyaspor - FC Zorya Lugansk | 2 | 2.38 | 4.27% | 15 Jul 17:30 |
| Tijuana U19 - Tigres UANL U19 | 2 | 2.50 | 4.27% | 16 Jul 21:45 |
| Sydney FC U21 - Manly Utd | 2 | 2.63 | 4.27% | 17 Jul 11:30 |
| Lions FC (W) - Brisbane City (W) | 2 | 2.45 | 4.27% | 18 Jul 11:00 |