Model: TipA1
JJ Urquiza – Sacachispas
PREDICTION
2
@ 2.70
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 04, 2026 10:30 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 0
StartStarted 22d 3h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.39% · n=969
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.57% · n=364
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 23d 2h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | JJ Urquiza | Sacachispas |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-D-D-D-D | D-D-W-L-L |
| Avg goals scored | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Home/Away form | D-D (home) | D-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.50 scored / 0.50 conceded | 0.50 scored / 1.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 2.20 for / 3.60 against | 5.00 for / 4.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 3.00 for / 3.00 against (home) | 2.00 for / 3.50 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Although the selection comes at relatively high odds, the recent statistical profile appears more balanced than the market suggests. There is some statistical support behind the pick, but the historical signal is not strong enough to be aggressive. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Sacachispas's attacking profile.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.70First seen
Current2.79Now
Max odds2.88Highest point
Min odds2.70Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
JJ Urquiza – Sacachispas Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.70. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.39% across 969 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 5.57% across 364 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample76
Win Rate34.2%
Profit-9.30u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | SV Estrella - SV River Plate | 2.70 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | Independencia - Galvez AC | 2.50 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | NK Krsko - ND Gorica | 2.50 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | Phu Dong FC - Da Nang II | 2.45 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | Newmarket - Moggill | 2.60 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | Polonia Sroda Slaska - Prochowiczanka Prochowice | 2.50 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | Acao (W) - Sport Recife (W) | 2.45 | 4.27% |
| LOSS | Holland Park Hawks - Sunshine Coast Wanderers | 2.50 | 4.27% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mjällby AIF - Djurgarden | 2 | 2.70 | 4.27% | 31 May 16:30 |
Pick
2 @ 2.70
Kickoff
Mag 04, 2026 10:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.39% • n=969
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
5.57% • n=364
Start
Started 22d 3h ago
Updated
Updated 23d 2h ago