JK Tammeka Tartu II – Tabasalu FC Charma

Model: TIPPSH

JK Tammeka Tartu II vs Tabasalu FC Charma

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.83
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffGiu 18, 2026 8:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 3
StartStarted 45d 6h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 3.37% · n=795
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 45d 9h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is JK Tammeka Tartu II. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: JK Tammeka Tartu IIGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

34/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.40First seen
Current1.67Now
Max odds1.67Highest point
Min odds1.38Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

JK Tammeka Tartu IIHOME
VS
Tabasalu FC CharmaAWAY
LWWWW
Recent form
WWLLL
Avg goals scored
2.20
1.80
Defensive weakness
1.60
2.60
Shots on target for
9.00
3.80
SoT conceded pressure
5.40
6.00
Home splitL-W-W-W-W4.20 scored / 1.40 conceded
Away splitW-L-L-W-W2.00 scored / 2.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.83. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 3.37% based on n=795 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Estonia Esiliiga B (ee). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.83
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 3.37% · n=795
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The odds suggest a balanced contest, but recent performance data slightly favors JK Tammeka Tartu II. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. JK Tammeka Tartu II is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: 5.7% 7D: -8.9% 15D: -3.7% 30D: 10.6%
Model insight

JK Tammeka Tartu II – Tabasalu FC Charma Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.83. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 3.37% and 3.37%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample276
Win Rate52.5%
Profit+0.41u
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WINAjax - Burnley2.043.37%
WINPonte Preta U20 - Uniao Suzano AC U201.813.37%
WINQueen's Park - Queen of South2.013.37%
WINLjungskile - Sandvikens IF1.943.37%
WINCS Corvinul Hunedoara - FK Csikszereda Miercurea Ciuc2.053.37%
Active Similar Predictions
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Pick
1 @ 1.83
Kickoff
Giu 18, 2026 8:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 3.37% • n=795
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
3.37% • n=795
Start
Started 45d 6h ago
Updated
Updated 45d 9h ago
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