KA Akureyri – FH Hafnarfjordur

Model: TIPPSH

KA Akureyri vs FH Hafnarfjordur

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.26
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 09, 2026 10:15 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 1
StartStarted 1h 1m ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.49% · n=1025
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 3h 8m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is KA Akureyri. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: KA AkureyriGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.050 | A: 0.060

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

36/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.15First seen
Current2.26Now
Max odds2.26Highest point
Min odds2.08Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

KA AkureyriHOME
VS
FH HafnarfjordurAWAY
LLDDW
Recent form
WDDDW
Avg goals scored
1.00
0.80
Defensive weakness
1.60
0.20
Shots on target for
5.00
3.20
SoT conceded pressure
4.60
6.00
Home splitL-D-W-L-L1.20 scored / 1.60 conceded
Away splitW-D-W-L-L0.60 scored / 2.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.26. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.49% based on n=1025 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Iceland Premier League (is). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.26
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025
V4 BandMEDIUMROI 2.49% · n=1025
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. KA Akureyri is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 5.9% 7D: 10.5% 15D: 6.7% 30D: 10.2%
Model insight

KA Akureyri – FH Hafnarfjordur Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.26. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 2.49% and 2.49%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample228
Win Rate44.3%
Profit-5.91u
Historical Similar Predictions
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WINHapoel Jerusalem - Hapoel Petah Tikva2.453.15%
LOSSLKS Drama Zbroslawice - Podlesianka Katowice2.252.49%
LOSSOFK Banik Lehota - OFK Malzenice2.252.49%
LOSSRennes - Brentford2.063.37%
WINPorthmadog - Rhyl2.103.37%
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Pick
1 @ 2.26
Kickoff
Ago 09, 2026 10:15 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 2.49% • n=1025
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
2.49% • n=1025
Start
Started 1h 1m ago
Updated
Updated 3h 8m ago
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