Model: TipTromba3H
Karlbergs BK – IF Karlstad Fotboll
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.80
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 09, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 0
StartStarted 17d 9h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.12% · n=251
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 18d 9h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Karlbergs BK | IF Karlstad Fotboll |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-L-W-W-L | D-L-W-W-W |
| Avg goals scored | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 2.00 | 0.60 |
| Home/Away form | D-W-L (home) | D-W-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 1.33 scored / 1.67 conceded | 1.00 scored / 0.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 5.80 for / 4.80 against | 3.80 for / 3.20 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 5.67 for / 4.00 against (home) | 5.00 for / 3.33 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The selection carries significant risk according to both market expectations and recent form indicators. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Karlbergs BK has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.84First seen
Current2.86Now
Max odds2.86Highest point
Min odds2.76Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Karlbergs BK – IF Karlstad Fotboll Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.80. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba3H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.12% across 251 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample86
Win Rate38.4%
Profit+3.65u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Deportivo Armenio - Argentino Merlo | 2.75 | 4.49% |
| LOSS | Azuriz FC - Blumenau EC | 2.80 | 4.49% |
| LOSS | Deportivo Laferrere - Atletico Camioneros | 2.60 | 2.55% |
| LOSS | Oyonesa - Varea | 2.63 | 2.50% |
| WIN | Al Bataeh U23 - Shabab Al Ahli Dubai U23 | 2.70 | 2.06% |
| WIN | Austin FC II - St Louis City II | 2.55 | 2.06% |
| WIN | Shaanxi Zhidan (W) - Shandong (W) | 2.88 | 4.12% |
| LOSS | FC Sudburgenland/TSV Hartberg (W) - Kleinmunchen/Blau-Weiss Linz (W) | 2.75 | 4.12% |
Pick
1 @ 2.80
Kickoff
Mag 09, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.12% • n=251
Start
Started 17d 9h ago
Updated
Updated 18d 9h ago