Model: TIPPSH
AZ vs Olympiacos
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.25
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 25, 2026 5:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 6h 3m
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 8m ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is AZ. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: AZGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.075 | A: -0.024Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
33/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.55First seen
Current2.36Now
Max odds2.88Highest point
Min odds2.34Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
AZHOME
VS
OlympiacosAWAY
WDDDD
Recent form
LLWDW
Avg goals scored
2.40
1.20
Defensive weakness
1.60
1.40
Shots on target for
5.60
4.60
SoT conceded pressure
4.80
4.00
Home splitW-D-D-D-W3.40 scored / 1.80 conceded
Away splitL-L-W-D-D1.00 scored / 1.40 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.25. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Europe Friendlies. Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.
Pick1
Odd2.25
V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh
AI Match Insight
The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. AZ has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 35.3%
7D: 41.8%
15D: 21.4%
30D: 27.3%
Model insight
AZ – Olympiacos Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.25. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample277
Win Rate48.7%
Profit+17.26u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | FC Kufstein - FC Pinzgau | 2.05 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Eastern Lions - Box Hill United | 2.48 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Sacachispas U20 - El Porvenir U20 | 2.00 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Deportivo Cali (W) - America de Cali (W) | 2.25 | 1.59% |
| WIN | Vysocina Jihlava - Viktoria Zizkov | 2.06 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Zhejiang Hangzhou B (W) - Guangdong Yue Zhan (W) | 2.33 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | New York Red Bulls II - Crown Legacy | 2.09 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | FK Sloga Doboj - Ajman SCC | 2.20 | 1.04% |
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| Inter Lions - Prospect United | 1 | 2.00 | 1.31% | 25 Jul 09:00 |
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| NEC - Elversberg | 1 | 2.00 | 1.31% | 25 Jul 14:00 |
| FK Volga Ulyanovsk - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 1 | 2.09 | 1.31% | 25 Jul 15:00 |
Pick
1 @ 2.25
Kickoff
Lug 25, 2026 5:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341
Start
Starts in 6h 3m
Updated
Updated 8m ago