Karlbergs BK – IFK Stocksund

Model: TIPPSH

Karlbergs BK vs IFK Stocksund

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.81
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 15, 2026 3:00 PM
ResultWIN2 - 0
StartStarted 2h 9m ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=746
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 3h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Karlbergs BK. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Karlbergs BKGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.069 | A: 0.061

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

26/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.59First seen
Current1.81Now
Max odds1.81Highest point
Min odds1.59Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Karlbergs BKHOME
VS
IFK StocksundAWAY
WLWWW
Recent form
LWLDL
Avg goals scored
2.00
1.40
Defensive weakness
0.80
1.40
Shots on target for
5.80
4.40
SoT conceded pressure
4.00
4.80
Home splitW-W-L-D-L1.40 scored / 1.40 conceded
Away splitL-D-L-L-W1.60 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.81. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=746 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Sweden 1.div Norra (se). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.81
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=746
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Karlbergs BK has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -21.6% 7D: -4.2% 15D: 12.9% 30D: 9.5%
Model insight

Karlbergs BK – IFK Stocksund Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.81. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 746 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample475
Win Rate50.7%
Profit-18.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSCA Huracan U20 - Godoy Cruz U201.821.04%
WINDukla Banska Bystrica U19 - MFK Zemplin Michalovce U191.931.04%
WINCA Independiente U20 - Gimnasia LP U201.881.04%
LOSSLjungskile - Osters IF1.901.04%
WINPelikan Lowicz - LKS Lodz II1.791.04%
LOSSLKS Goczalkowice Zdroj - Sleza Wroclaw1.831.04%
WINCentral Norte Argentino - Don Orione2.031.31%
WINFC Gifu - Kochi United1.791.31%
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Pick
1 @ 1.81
Kickoff
Ago 15, 2026 3:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=746
Start
Started 2h 9m ago
Updated
Updated 1d 3h ago
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