UD Leiria vs Benfica B
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is UD Leiria. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: UD LeiriaGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.106 | A: -0.019Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.17. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=5438 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Portugal Segunda Liga (pt). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. UD Leiria has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
UD Leiria – Benfica B Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Real Jaen - Cacereno | 2.25 | 1.41% |
| LOSS | Flamengo SP U20 - GO Audax U20 | 2.37 | 1.59% |
| WIN | New York City FC II - Orlando City II | 2.14 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Berwick Rangers - Hearts B | 2.04 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Banbury - Racing Club Warwick | 1.93 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Botev Vratsa - Slavia Sofia | 1.93 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Nacional de Montevideo Reserves - Montevideo Wanderers Reserves | 2.20 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Planalto EC (W) - Pantanal (W) | 2.12 | 1.04% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Boca Juniors Reserves - River Plate Reserves | 1 | 2.40 | 1.59% | 05 Jul 19:00 |
| Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 27 Jul 01:00 |
| Apia L Tigers - Sydney United 58 | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 12 Aug 11:30 |
| Throttur Reykjavik (W) - Valur Reykjavik (W) | 1 | 2.10 | 1.04% | 12 Aug 21:15 |
| Bragantino - Atletico Mineiro | 1 | 2.00 | 1.04% | 13 Aug 00:00 |
| Sao Bernardo SP - Botafogo SP | 1 | 2.30 | 1.59% | 15 Aug 00:30 |