Model: TIPPSH
Kataller Toyama – Tokushima Vortis
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.20
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 17, 2026 9:00 AM
ResultLOSS2 - 2
StartStarted 9d 21h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.86% · n=299
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 10d 1h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Kataller Toyama | Tokushima Vortis |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | D-W-D-W-W | D-L-L-L-D |
| Avg goals scored | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Avg goals conceded | 0.60 | 2.60 |
| Home/Away form | D-D-W-W-W (home) | D-L-D-L-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 2.80 scored / 1.00 conceded | 2.00 scored / 1.40 conceded |
| Shots on target | 6.60 for / 3.80 against | 4.80 for / 5.80 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 6.80 for / 4.00 against (home) | 4.60 for / 4.00 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Kataller Toyama is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.05First seen
Current2.25Now
Max odds2.30Highest point
Min odds2.05Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Kataller Toyama – Tokushima Vortis Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.20. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show MEDIUM confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 4.86% and 4.86%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample176
Win Rate42.6%
Profit-20.17u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Bangor Celtic FC - St Mochtas | 2.27 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | AF Chilibre - Deportivo Ana Luisa Flores | 2.12 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Ascoli - Catania | 2.28 | 2.49% |
| WIN | 29 de Septiembre FBC - Club General Martin Ledesma | 2.31 | 3.15% |
| LOSS | Central & Western - Hoi King | 2.20 | 3.37% |
| WIN | Kariya - Gakunan F Mosuperio | 2.28 | 2.49% |
| WIN | Leones de Rosario - General Lamadrid | 2.38 | 2.49% |
| LOSS | B36 Torshavn II - Vikingur Gota II | 2.21 | 3.37% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slask Wroclaw II - KKS 1925 Kalisz | 1 | 1.98 | 4.86% | 09 May 13:00 |
Pick
1 @ 2.20
Kickoff
Mag 17, 2026 9:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.86% • n=299
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.86% • n=299
Start
Started 9d 21h ago
Updated
Updated 10d 1h ago