Model: TipTromba2H

KF Arsimi vs FK Skopje

PREDICTION

@ 1.67

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 29, 2026 6:30 PM

ResultLOSS0 - 0

StartStarted 2d 3h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.22% · n=70

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.22% · n=70

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 2d 20h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is KF Arsimi. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: KF ArsimiGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.131 | A: 0.036

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

24/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.67First seen

Current1.69Now

Max odds1.69Highest point

Min odds1.67Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

KF ArsimiHOME

FK SkopjeAWAY

DWWLL

Recent form

DDLDL

Avg goals scored

0.80

0.40

Defensive weakness

1.80

1.60

Shots on target for

4.40

3.80

SoT conceded pressure

6.20

8.20

Home splitD-W-W-D-W1.60 scored / 0.40 conceded

Away splitD-L-L-W-W1.60 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.67. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.22% based on n=70 historical similar picks. The match belongs to North Macedonia First League (mk). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.67

V2 BandLOWROI 1.22% · n=70

V4 BandLOWROI 1.22% · n=70

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Market expectations and recent results both point toward KF Arsimi as the more reliable side. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: -6.4% 7D: 20.3% 15D: 13.1% 30D: 10.8%

Model insight

KF Arsimi – FK Skopje Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.67. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.22% and 1.22%. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample20

Win Rate60.0%

Profit-0.93u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Gyulai Termal - Szeged-Csanad Grosics II	1.67	1.22%
WIN	North Lakes United (W) - Caboolture FC (W)	1.57	1.22%
WIN	FC Levadia Tallinn - Paide Linnameeskond	1.60	1.22%
LOSS	Pelister Bitola - AP Brera Strumica	1.62	1.22%
WIN	Edgeworth Eagles - Belmont Swansea United SC	1.73	1.22%
WIN	Pure Swansea - Llanelli Town	1.53	1.22%
LOSS	Debreceni II - Fuzesabonyi SC	1.53	1.22%
WIN	Ceara U20 - Vila Real CE U20	1.53	1.22%

Pick

1 @ 1.67

Kickoff

Ago 29, 2026 6:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.22% • n=70

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.22% • n=70

Start

Started 2d 3h ago

Updated

Updated 2d 20h ago