Pure Swansea – Llanelli Town

Model: TIPPSH

Pure Swansea vs Llanelli Town

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.64
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 15, 2026 5:30 PM
ResultWIN3 - 0
StartStarted 1d 3h ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.11% · n=18
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.11% · n=18
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 1d 5h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Pure Swansea. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Pure SwanseaGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: -0.180

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

38/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.53First seen
Current1.64Now
Max odds1.75Highest point
Min odds1.53Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Pure SwanseaHOME
VS
Llanelli TownAWAY
WWW
Recent form
LDLLL
Avg goals scored
3.00
0.40
Defensive weakness
0.00
4.40
Shots on target for
8.00
3.20
SoT conceded pressure
2.00
9.60
Home splitW3.00 scored / 0.00 conceded
Away splitL-L-L0.00 scored / 5.67 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.64. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 5.11% based on n=18 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Wales Championship South (gb). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.64
V2 BandHIGHROI 5.11% · n=18
V4 BandHIGHROI 5.11% · n=18
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The short price is supported by recent form data, with Pure Swansea showing a clearer performance edge. The model places this selection in a historically favorable confidence range. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Pure Swansea's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -31.1% 7D: -17.9% 15D: 6.1% 30D: 5.2%
Model insight

Pure Swansea – Llanelli Town Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.64. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 5.11% and 5.11%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample7
Win Rate57.1%
Profit+0.02u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
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WINFlint City Bucks - Ventura County Fusion1.796.72%
WINGyeongnam FC - Ansan Greeners FC1.786.72%
WINKeflavik - Thor Akureyri1.826.72%
LOSSNational Bank - El Gounah1.765.21%
LOSSVikingur Reykjavik - Breidablik1.835.21%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Leones FC - Guayaquil City11.876.72%23 Jul 23:30
Pick
1 @ 1.64
Kickoff
Ago 15, 2026 5:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 5.11% • n=18
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
5.11% • n=18
Start
Started 1d 3h ago
Updated
Updated 1d 5h ago
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