KF Drenica Skenderaj – KF Dukagjini

Model: TipTromba35H

KF Drenica Skenderaj vs KF Dukagjini

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.40
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 15, 2026 6:30 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 0
StartStarted 42m ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.14% · n=423
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 2h 44m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is KF Drenica Skenderaj. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: KF Drenica SkenderajGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

52/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.60First seen
Current3.40Now
Max odds3.40Highest point
Min odds2.53Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

KF Drenica SkenderajHOME
VS
KF DukagjiniAWAY
DWWLW
Recent form
DLLLW
Avg goals scored
1.60
0.40
Defensive weakness
1.60
1.40
Shots on target for
6.00
4.80
SoT conceded pressure
3.50
4.60
Home splitD-W-W-L-W1.40 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitD-L-L-W-W1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.40. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.14% based on n=423 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Kosovo Superliga (xk). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.40
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.14% · n=423
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

Although the odds are relatively high, KF Drenica Skenderaj shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. This sits in a middle confidence range, suggesting a balanced but not especially dominant setup. KF Drenica Skenderaj is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -17.1% 7D: -9.1% 15D: 8.8% 30D: 7.9%
Model insight

KF Drenica Skenderaj – KF Dukagjini Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.40. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba35H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.14% across 423 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample151
Win Rate27.8%
Profit-11.58u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSEl Nacional - San Antonio FC Cotacachi3.203.85%
LOSSAldershot - Hartlepool3.254.14%
LOSSHaverfordwest County - Penybont3.203.85%
LOSSEspanyol B - CE Europa3.254.14%
LOSSCD Colonia Moscardo - Fuenlabrada3.303.56%
WINSV Austria Salzburg - First Vienna FC 18943.414.14%
WINHPS (W) - KuPS (W)3.253.56%
WINParceiro Nagano - Renofa Yamaguchi3.254.14%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Hapoel Kiryat Shmona - Hapoel Tel Aviv13.203.85%16 Aug 19:00
Pick
1 @ 3.40
Kickoff
Ago 15, 2026 6:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.14% • n=423
Start
Started 42m ago
Updated
Updated 2h 44m ago
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