Kispest Honved – MTK Budapest

Model: TIPPSH

Kispest Honved vs MTK Budapest

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.64
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 01, 2026 7:30 PM
ResultLOSS3 - 3
StartStarted 21h 41m ago
V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 8.94% · n=311
V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 8.94% · n=311
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 23h 45m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Kispest Honved. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Kispest HonvedGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.055 | A: 0.020

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

63/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.70First seen
Current2.64Now
Max odds2.70Highest point
Min odds2.55Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Kispest HonvedHOME
VS
MTK BudapestAWAY
DDLWW
Recent form
DWDWL
Avg goals scored
2.60
2.20
Defensive weakness
1.20
1.40
Shots on target for
7.20
3.80
SoT conceded pressure
2.80
5.00
Home splitD-W2.50 scored / 1.50 conceded
Away splitD-L-L-D-D1.60 scored / 2.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.64. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 8.94% based on n=311 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Hungary NB I (hu). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.64
V2 BandELITEROI 8.94% · n=311
V4 BandELITEROI 8.94% · n=311
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. Comparable matches classified within the ELITE confidence range have historically generated positive model outcomes. Kispest Honved is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -24.2% 7D: -16.6% 15D: 4.2% 30D: 7.5%
Model insight

Kispest Honved – MTK Budapest Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.64. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show ELITE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 8.94% and 8.94%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample17
Win Rate47.1%
Profit+3.25u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINValentine Phoenix - Charlestown Azzurri2.468.94%
LOSSND Beltinci - Sharjah SCC2.448.94%
LOSSServette - Basel2.408.94%
LOSSBangor Celtic FC - College Corinthians FC2.558.94%
WINGreen Gully - Bentleigh Greens2.398.94%
WINHeidelberg Utd U23 - Oakleigh Cannons U232.638.94%
WINMonterey Bay FC - El Paso Locomotive FC2.518.94%
LOSSMyanmar (W) - Uzbekistan (W)2.4511.02%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
FC Arges Pitesti - Petrolul Ploiesti12.438.94%24 Jul 20:30
Kispest Honved - MTK Budapest12.548.94%01 Aug 19:30
AZS UJ Krakow (W) - Slask Wroclaw (W)12.408.94%02 Aug 17:30
Pick
1 @ 2.64
Kickoff
Ago 01, 2026 7:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: ELITE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 8.94% • n=311
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
8.94% • n=311
Start
Started 21h 41m ago
Updated
Updated 23h 45m ago
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