Kispest Honved vs MTK Budapest
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Kispest Honved. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Kispest HonvedGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.055 | A: 0.020Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.64. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 8.94% based on n=311 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Hungary NB I (hu). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.
AI Match Insight
From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. Comparable matches classified within the ELITE confidence range have historically generated positive model outcomes. Kispest Honved is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.
Kispest Honved – MTK Budapest Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Valentine Phoenix - Charlestown Azzurri | 2.46 | 8.94% |
| LOSS | ND Beltinci - Sharjah SCC | 2.44 | 8.94% |
| LOSS | Servette - Basel | 2.40 | 8.94% |
| LOSS | Bangor Celtic FC - College Corinthians FC | 2.55 | 8.94% |
| WIN | Green Gully - Bentleigh Greens | 2.39 | 8.94% |
| WIN | Heidelberg Utd U23 - Oakleigh Cannons U23 | 2.63 | 8.94% |
| WIN | Monterey Bay FC - El Paso Locomotive FC | 2.51 | 8.94% |
| LOSS | Myanmar (W) - Uzbekistan (W) | 2.45 | 11.02% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Arges Pitesti - Petrolul Ploiesti | 1 | 2.43 | 8.94% | 24 Jul 20:30 |
| Kispest Honved - MTK Budapest | 1 | 2.54 | 8.94% | 01 Aug 19:30 |
| AZS UJ Krakow (W) - Slask Wroclaw (W) | 1 | 2.40 | 8.94% | 02 Aug 17:30 |