KMG Holdings vs Nexus Miyakonojo
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is KMG Holdings. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: KMG HoldingsGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.65. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.82% based on n=495 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Japan Regional League (jp). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.
AI Match Insight
The short price is supported by recent form data, with KMG Holdings showing a clearer performance edge. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to KMG Holdings's attacking profile.
KMG Holdings – Nexus Miyakonojo Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Atletico Barinas - Real Frontera | 1.53 | -3.82% |
| WIN | Rayon Sports FC - Tusker | 1.62 | -1.89% |
| WIN | Cagliari - Modena | 1.65 | -1.89% |
| WIN | Al Nejmeh - Al Ahed | 1.57 | -3.38% |
| WIN | Ivory Coast U20 - Benin U20 | 1.50 | -3.38% |
| LOSS | GrIFK Reservi - EPS Reservi | 1.55 | -3.82% |
| LOSS | Goztepe - NK Rudes | 1.73 | -1.89% |
| WIN | CD FAS Reserves - Municipal Limeno Reserves | 1.73 | -3.38% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPJ/Lauttasaari - LPS Helsinki | 1 | 1.55 | -1.89% | 30 Jul 19:00 |
| North Star - Capalaba FC | 1 | 1.73 | -3.82% | 31 Jul 12:30 |
| Valerenga - Ham-Kam | 1 | 1.73 | -1.89% | 31 Jul 19:00 |
| St Patricks - Derry City | 1 | 1.62 | -3.38% | 31 Jul 20:45 |
| Næsby - Sundby | 1 | 1.62 | -1.89% | 01 Aug 14:00 |
| FK Zeleznicar Pancevo - Mladost Lucani | 1 | 1.60 | -3.38% | 01 Aug 18:00 |