Model: TIPPSA

Kristianstad FC vs Lunds BK

PREDICTION

@ 2.21

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffGiu 07, 2026 3:00 PM

ResultLOSS1 - 1

StartStarted 44d 14h ago

V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 2.63% · n=132

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 44d 16h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Lunds BK. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Lunds BKGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

36/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.55First seen

Current2.33Now

Max odds2.55Highest point

Min odds2.33Lowest point

VolatilityHighStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Kristianstad FCHOME

Lunds BKAWAY

DWLWL

Recent form

DWWWL

Avg goals scored

1.20

3.20

Defensive weakness

1.40

1.60

Shots on target for

5.20

8.60

SoT conceded pressure

4.00

5.00

Home splitD-L-L-W-D1.40 scored / 1.40 conceded

Away splitD-W-L-D-W1.80 scored / 1.40 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.21. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 2.63% based on n=132 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Sweden 1.div Södra (se). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.21

V2 BandMEDIUMROI 2.63% · n=132

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

This looks like a competitive matchup, although the form profile gives the selected side some support. The confidence profile is moderate, so the pick has statistical support but should not be treated as a low-risk prediction. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Lunds BK's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: 15.9% 7D: -3.3% 15D: 15.1% 30D: 13.4%

Model insight

Kristianstad FC – Lunds BK Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.21. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 2.63% across 132 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample139

Win Rate45.3%

Profit+1.30u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Shanghai Segenda - Shandong Taishan Reserves	2.13	2.63%
WIN	Lipno Steszew - Unia Swarzedz	2.44	4.13%
WIN	Craigavon City (W) - Ballymoney United (W)	2.34	3.43%
LOSS	Union La Calera - Universidad de Chile	2.29	3.59%
LOSS	Votoraty U23 - Guarulhos U23	2.08	2.63%
LOSS	Vidar - Pors Grenland	2.08	2.63%
WIN	Santa Clara U23 - Gil Vicente U23	2.01	2.63%
LOSS	Lech Poznan UAM (W) - Rekord Bielsko-Biala (W)	2.25	3.59%

Pick

2 @ 2.21

Kickoff

Giu 07, 2026 3:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: MEDIUM

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 2.63% • n=132

Start

Started 44d 14h ago

Updated

Updated 44d 16h ago