Model: TIPPSH
Launceston United (W) – South Hobart (W)
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.83
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 23, 2026 6:15 AM
ResultWIN2 - 0
StartStarted 4d 2h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -2.37% · n=266
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -2.37% · n=266
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 4d 4h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Launceston United (W) | South Hobart (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-L-W-L-W | L-W-W-W-W |
| Avg goals scored | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Home/Away form | W-L-W-L (home) | L-W-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 3.00 scored / 1.50 conceded | 3.33 scored / 1.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 11.60 for / 3.00 against | 10.20 for / 5.00 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 8.50 for / 3.75 against (home) | 11.33 for / 5.33 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The selection carries significant risk according to both market expectations and recent form indicators. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Launceston United (W)'s attacking profile.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.10First seen
Current3.28Now
Max odds4.10Highest point
Min odds3.10Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Launceston United (W) – South Hobart (W) Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.83. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -2.37% and -2.37%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample33
Win Rate27.3%
Profit-8.18u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | HERA United (W) - FC Utrecht (W) | 2.80 | -1.00% |
| LOSS | Shimizu S-Pulse - Gamba Osaka | 2.89 | -2.37% |
| LOSS | Aris Limassol - AEK Larnaca | 2.98 | -3.20% |
| WIN | Greuther Furth - Fortuna Dusseldorf | 2.59 | -1.54% |
| WIN | St. Louis City SC - Los Angeles FC | 2.76 | -3.20% |
| LOSS | Lechia Gdansk - Legia Warsaw | 2.94 | -3.20% |
| WIN | Ceara - Atletico Mineiro | 2.96 | -3.20% |
| WIN | El Porvenir - Central Cordoba de Rosario | 2.75 | -3.20% |
Pick
1 @ 2.83
Kickoff
Mag 23, 2026 6:15 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -2.37% • n=266
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-2.37% • n=266
Start
Started 4d 2h ago
Updated
Updated 4d 4h ago