Lechia Gdansk – Legia Warsaw

Model: TIPPSH

Lechia Gdansk vs Legia Warsaw

PREDICTION
1
@ 2.76
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 17, 2026 7:30 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 2
StartStarted 55d 3h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.20% · n=29
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -3.20% · n=29
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 55d 7h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Lechia Gdansk. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Lechia Gdansk

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

21/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.94First seen
Current2.76Now
Max odds2.95Highest point
Min odds2.76Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Lechia GdanskHOME
VS
Legia WarsawAWAY
LLLLD
Recent form
WWWLW
Avg goals scored
1.00
1.00
Defensive weakness
2.20
1.00
Shots on target for
5.60
2.60
SoT conceded pressure
3.80
4.80
Home splitL-L-D-W1.75 scored / 1.75 conceded
Away splitW-W-L-W1.25 scored / 1.25 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.76. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -3.20% based on n=29 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Poland Ekstraklasa (pl). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Medium volatility.

Pick1
Odd2.76
V2 BandNONEROI -3.20% · n=29
V4 BandNONEROI -3.20% · n=29
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor Lechia Gdansk. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Lechia Gdansk is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: 2.8% 7D: -1.5% 15D: -11.9% 30D: -2.3%
Model insight

Lechia Gdansk – Legia Warsaw Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.76. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -3.20% and -3.20%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample40
Win Rate32.5%
Profit-4.88u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSKungsängens IF - Skiljebo SK2.82-2.37%
LOSSPanama (W) - Jamaica (W)2.80-2.37%
WINAtlantis - HIFK 22.77-2.37%
WINAnapolis FC - Paysandu3.00-2.37%
LOSSHERA United (W) - FC Utrecht (W)2.80-1.00%
LOSSShimizu S-Pulse - Gamba Osaka2.89-2.37%
LOSSAris Limassol - AEK Larnaca2.98-3.20%
WINGreuther Furth - Fortuna Dusseldorf2.59-1.54%
Pick
1 @ 2.76
Kickoff
Mag 17, 2026 7:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -3.20% • n=29
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-3.20% • n=29
Start
Started 55d 3h ago
Updated
Updated 55d 7h ago
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