Lechuzas UPGCH – Progreso FC

Model: TipTromba2H

Lechuzas UPGCH vs Progreso FC

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.50
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffApr 26, 2026 1:00 AM
ResultWIN2 - 1
StartStarted 77d 20h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -2.88% · n=947
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 78d 9h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Lechuzas UPGCH. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Lechuzas UPGCH

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

7/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.51First seen
Current1.50Now
Max odds1.51Highest point
Min odds1.50Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Lechuzas UPGCHHOME
VS
Progreso FCAWAY
W
Recent form
L
Avg goals scored
2.00
1.00
Defensive weakness
1.00
2.00
Shots on target for
7.00
3.00
SoT conceded pressure
3.00
7.00
Home splitW2.00 scored / 1.00 conceded
Away splitL1.00 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.50. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -2.88% based on n=947 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Mexico Liga TDP (mx). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.50
V2 BandNONEROI -2.88% · n=947
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Market expectations and recent results both point toward Lechuzas UPGCH as the more reliable side. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Lechuzas UPGCH is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: -12.8% 7D: 0.0% 15D: 7.5% 30D: 15.2%
Model insight

Lechuzas UPGCH – Progreso FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.50. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -2.88% across 947 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample370
Win Rate65.7%
Profit+20.62u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINChapecoense U20 - Figueirense U201.70-3.82%
LOSSIronbound - Manhattan SC1.65-1.89%
LOSSSeacoast United Phantoms - AC Connecticut1.60-1.89%
WINFC Copenhagen - AC Horsens1.67-1.89%
WINManagua FC - Rancho Santana FC1.62-3.38%
LOSSRhode Island FC - Brooklyn FC1.50-3.38%
WINFC Tucson - Capo FC1.70-1.89%
WINCanterbury Bankstown FC - Prospect United1.50-1.89%
Pick
1 @ 1.50
Kickoff
Apr 26, 2026 1:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -2.88% • n=947
Start
Started 77d 20h ago
Updated
Updated 78d 9h ago
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