Leyton Orient – Burton Albion

Model: TIPPSA

Leyton Orient – Burton Albion

PREDICTION
2
@ 3.94
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 02, 2026 6:00 PM
ResultLOSS2 - 2
StartStarted 24d 11h ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.37% · n=115
V4 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.23% · n=45
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 24d 15h ago

Team Form & Goal Trends

Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.

Metric Leyton Orient Burton Albion
Last 5 form D-L-L-D-L D-D-D-W-D
Avg goals scored 0.60 1.00
Avg goals conceded 1.40 0.80
Home/Away form D-L-D-L (home) D-D-D (away)
Home/Away avg goals 0.75 scored / 1.50 conceded 1.00 scored / 1.00 conceded
Shots on target 2.40 for / 5.80 against 4.40 for / 2.60 against
Home/Away shots on target 2.00 for / 4.50 against (home) 4.33 for / 3.67 against (away)

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Burton Albion. Historical model performance remains supportive, with similar HIGH underdog setups showing encouraging long-term results. Burton Albion is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.90First seen
Current4.10Now
Max odds4.30Highest point
Min odds3.90Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight

Leyton Orient – Burton Albion Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.94. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is HIGH, with a historical expected ROI of 5.37% across 115 similar predictions. The V4 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.23% across 45 historical samples. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample10
Win Rate10.0%
Profit-6.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSGoias - Vila Nova3.895.37%
LOSSEspanyol - Levante3.915.37%
LOSSVikingur Reykjavik (W) - Stjarnan (W)3.875.37%
LOSSLDU Quito - SD Aucas3.965.37%
WINMFK Zvolen - Slovan Bratislava B4.005.37%
LOSSIA/Kari/Skall/Viko U19 - Stjarnan/KFG U193.925.37%
LOSSSousa EC - Maguary PE3.755.37%
LOSSZnicz Pruszkow U19 - Resovia Rzeszow U194.035.37%
Pick
2 @ 3.94
Kickoff
Mag 02, 2026 6:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 5.37% • n=115
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
4.23% • n=45
Start
Started 24d 11h ago
Updated
Updated 24d 15h ago
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