LKS Lodz III – Sokol Aleksandrow

Model: TIPPSH

LKS Lodz III vs Sokol Aleksandrow

PREDICTION
1
@ 4.21
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 29, 2026 1:00 PM
ResultLOSS1 - 3
StartStarted 2d 14h ago
V2 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.56% · n=52
V4 ConfidenceHIGHExpected ROI 5.56% · n=52
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 2d 16h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is LKS Lodz III. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: LKS Lodz IIIGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

63/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.30First seen
Current4.81Now
Max odds4.81Highest point
Min odds3.30Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

LKS Lodz IIIHOME
VS
Sokol AleksandrowAWAY
LWW
Recent form
WWLD
Avg goals scored
2.67
1.50
Defensive weakness
1.67
1.75
Shots on target for
10.67
5.25
SoT conceded pressure
4.67
9.25
Home splitL-W3.00 scored / 2.50 conceded
Away splitW-W-D2.00 scored / 1.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 4.21. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 5.56% based on n=52 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Poland IV Liga (pl). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd4.21
V2 BandHIGHROI 5.56% · n=52
V4 BandHIGHROI 5.56% · n=52
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. The HIGH confidence band is important here: similar higher-priced setups have historically produced positive model results. LKS Lodz III has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: -12.7% 7D: 18.7% 15D: 10.2% 30D: 9.5%
Model insight

LKS Lodz III – Sokol Aleksandrow Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 4.21. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show HIGH confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 5.56% and 5.56%. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample7
Win Rate28.6%
Profit+1.36u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINBaerum - Mjondalen4.337.21%
WINMlada Boleslav - Sparta Prague4.035.87%
LOSSAvispa Fukuoka - Vissel Kobe4.257.21%
LOSSDebreceni VSC - FC Copenhagen4.205.87%
LOSSGyeongnam FC - Daegu FC4.055.56%
LOSSGuangxi Hengchen - Shandong Taishan4.115.87%
LOSSRagsveds IF - Enkopings SK4.205.56%
Pick
1 @ 4.21
Kickoff
Ago 29, 2026 1:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: HIGH
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 5.56% • n=52
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
5.56% • n=52
Start
Started 2d 14h ago
Updated
Updated 2d 16h ago
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