Model: TipA1

LTU vs MaPS

PREDICTION

@ 2.60

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 21, 2026 8:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 1d 10h

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.02% · n=648

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 10m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is MaPS. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: MaPSGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.110 | A: -0.101

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

35/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

LTUHOME

MaPSAWAY

WWWDL

Recent form

WWLDL

Avg goals scored

2.00

1.00

Defensive weakness

1.00

1.20

Shots on target for

3.80

4.20

SoT conceded pressure

4.60

5.20

Home splitW-W-L-L-L1.60 scored / 1.40 conceded

Away splitW-W-D-L-L1.20 scored / 1.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.60. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.02% based on n=648 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Finland Kolmonen (fi). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.60

V2 BandLOWROI 1.02% · n=648

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The elevated odds reflect a naturally higher-risk profile, especially because recent form does not clearly favor MaPS. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 63.2% 7D: 2.3% 15D: 3.9% 30D: 3.7%

Model insight

LTU – MaPS Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.60. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.02% across 648 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample133

Win Rate35.3%

Profit-15.85u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Staal Jørpeland - Haugesund 2	2.70	1.02%
WIN	Morecambe - South Shields	2.38	1.02%
LOSS	SK Kosmonosy - SK Vysoke Myto	2.50	1.02%
LOSS	Hellerup IK - FA 2000	2.40	1.02%
WIN	SR Fach-Donaufeld - Oberwart	2.55	1.02%
WIN	Quorn - Cleethorpes Town	2.35	1.02%
WIN	Gosport Borough - Hanworth Villa	2.40	1.02%
LOSS	Bom Jesus - Rio Verde	2.50	1.02%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) - Throttur Reykjavik (W)	2	2.38	1.02%	21 Aug 20:00
Ilkeston - Cleethorpes Town	2	2.38	1.02%	22 Aug 16:00

Pick

2 @ 2.60

Kickoff

Ago 21, 2026 8:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.02% • n=648

Start

Starts in 1d 10h

Updated

Updated 10m ago