Model: TipA1

Staal Jørpeland vs Haugesund 2

PREDICTION

@ 2.70

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffAgo 17, 2026 8:00 PM

ResultWIN3 - 4

StartStarted 14m ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.02% · n=648

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 13h 28m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Haugesund 2. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Haugesund 2Goal/Shots Index — H: -0.024 | A: -0.073

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Away edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Away edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

36/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.75First seen

Current2.70Now

Max odds2.75Highest point

Min odds2.70Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Staal JørpelandHOME

Haugesund 2AWAY

LWLLD

Recent form

WWLDL

Avg goals scored

2.40

2.20

Defensive weakness

3.60

2.60

Shots on target for

5.00

5.20

SoT conceded pressure

8.00

5.80

Home splitL-L-D-W-L2.60 scored / 2.60 conceded

Away splitW-L-L-L-W2.40 scored / 3.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 2.70. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.02% based on n=648 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Norway Division 3 Group 4 (no). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.

Pick2

Odd2.70

V2 BandLOWROI 1.02% · n=648

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

Although the odds are relatively high, Haugesund 2 shows enough recent performance support to make the pick interesting from a risk/reward perspective. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -26.4% 7D: -19.4% 15D: -3.2% 30D: 3.8%

Model insight

Staal Jørpeland – Haugesund 2 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 2.70. This prediction is generated by the TipA1 model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.02% across 648 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample113

Win Rate31.9%

Profit-17.95u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	SK Kosmonosy - SK Vysoke Myto	2.50	1.02%
LOSS	Santo Andre U20 - XV Piracicaba U20	2.90	0.48%
WIN	SR Fach-Donaufeld - Oberwart	2.55	1.02%
LOSS	Bom Jesus - Rio Verde	2.50	1.02%
WIN	Strug Tyczyn - Wislok Wisniowa	2.60	1.02%
LOSS	Bishop's Stortford - Banbury	2.50	1.02%
WIN	Dorking Wanderers - Dag & Red	2.88	0.48%
LOSS	CS Concordia Chiajna - FC Bihor Oradea	2.63	1.02%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
Estudiantes Rio Cuarto - San Lorenzo	2	2.88	0.48%	22 Aug 01:00

Pick

2 @ 2.70

Kickoff

Ago 17, 2026 8:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.02% • n=648

Start

Started 14m ago

Updated

Updated 13h 28m ago