Model: TIPPSH
Luverdense – Aparecidense
PREDICTION
1
@ 2.17
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 25, 2026 1:00 AM
ResultWIN1 - 0
StartStarted 21d 9h ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=5438
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 21d 11h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Luverdense | Aparecidense |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | W-L-L-L-D | L-D-W-D-W |
| Avg goals scored | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Home/Away form | W-L-D-D-D (home) | L-D-D-W-W (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 0.80 scored / 0.80 conceded | 1.60 scored / 1.00 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.20 for / 2.20 against | 3.80 for / 6.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 5.50 for / 2.50 against (home) | 3.25 for / 6.75 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated.
Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 32.3%
7D: 37.0%
15D: 22.7%
30D: 9.1%
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds2.38First seen
Current2.17Now
Max odds2.38Highest point
Min odds2.14Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term
Model insight
Luverdense – Aparecidense Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.17. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 5438 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The prediction received strong market support after the first appearance. Early prices historically produced the best long-term performance for this model profile. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample167
Win Rate44.9%
Profit-7.28u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Jitex BK (W) - Enskede IK (W) | 2.00 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | SC United Bantams - Hickory FC | 2.27 | 1.59% |
| LOSS | Pointe Michel FC - Bath Estate | 1.95 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | SFC Shturmi - FC Telavi | 1.98 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | NTNUI - Aalesunds FK 2 | 2.01 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | JK Tammeka Tartu - Parnu JK Vaprus | 2.09 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Roa (W) - Honefoss (W) | 2.01 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Garbarnia Krakow - BKS Bochnia | 2.20 | 1.04% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| IA Akranes - Valur Reykjavik | 1 | 2.32 | 1.41% | 16 Jun 21:15 |
Pick
1 @ 2.17
Kickoff
Mag 25, 2026 1:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=5438
Start
Started 21d 9h ago
Updated
Updated 21d 11h ago