Model: TIPPSH

SFC Shturmi vs FC Telavi

PREDICTION

@ 2.06

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffGiu 13, 2026 8:00 PM

ResultLOSS0 - 2

StartStarted 56d 12h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 56d 14h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is SFC Shturmi. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: SFC ShturmiGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

30/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.00First seen

Current2.06Now

Max odds2.06Highest point

Min odds1.91Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

SFC ShturmiHOME

FC TelaviAWAY

LLWWD

Recent form

WWWWD

Avg goals scored

1.20

1.60

Defensive weakness

1.00

0.20

Shots on target for

4.40

3.40

SoT conceded pressure

3.20

3.00

Home splitL-W-W-L-W1.00 scored / 0.80 conceded

Away splitW-W-D-L-L1.20 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.06. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Georgia First League (ge). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.06

V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. SFC Shturmi has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: -23.4% 7D: 3.7% 15D: -8.1% 30D: 9.6%

Model insight

SFC Shturmi – FC Telavi Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.06. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample540

Win Rate48.9%

Profit-5.54u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Fortaleza CEIF - Cucuta Deportivo	1.82	1.04%
LOSS	Gyirmot SE - Kazincbarcikai BSC	2.07	1.04%
WIN	MKS Kluczbork - Gornik Polkowice	2.30	1.59%
LOSS	Aveley - Eastbourne Borough	2.10	1.31%
LOSS	Atlético Tucumán - Sarmiento	1.86	1.04%
WIN	Wisla Plock II - Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki	2.00	1.31%
WIN	Hanworth Villa - Taunton Town	2.07	1.04%
LOSS	Benesov - Aritma Praha	2.05	1.31%

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Pick

1 @ 2.06

Kickoff

Giu 13, 2026 8:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537

Confidence V4

CONF V4: LOW

Exp. ROI V4

1.31% • n=2537

Start

Started 56d 12h ago

Updated

Updated 56d 14h ago