Model: TipTromba35H

Itaquaquecetuba U20 vs Jacarei FC U20

PREDICTION

@ 3.30

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffLug 16, 2026 10:00 PM

ResultWIN2 - 1

StartStarted 15h 44m ago

V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 8.81% · n=117

V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 8.81% · n=117

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 17h 48m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Itaquaquecetuba U20. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Itaquaquecetuba U20

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

68/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds3.30First seen

Current3.30Now

Max odds3.35Highest point

Min odds3.30Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Itaquaquecetuba U20HOME

Jacarei FC U20AWAY

WWDLW

Recent form

LLD

Avg goals scored

1.40

0.67

Defensive weakness

0.60

1.67

Shots on target for

6.50

3.33

SoT conceded pressure

2.75

4.33

Home splitW-L-W1.33 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitL-L1.00 scored / 2.50 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.30. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 8.81% based on n=117 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Brazil Campeonato Paulista Serie B U20 (br). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd3.30

V2 BandELITEROI 8.81% · n=117

V4 BandELITEROI 8.81% · n=117

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The market offers a relatively high price, but recent statistical trends still provide meaningful support for Itaquaquecetuba U20. Comparable matches classified within the ELITE confidence range have historically generated positive model outcomes. Itaquaquecetuba U20 is also generating more shots on target, adding offensive support to the pick.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: 8.7% 7D: 3.2% 15D: 10.2% 30D: 17.4%

Model insight

Itaquaquecetuba U20 – Jacarei FC U20 Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.30. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba35H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show ELITE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 8.81% and 8.81%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample22

Win Rate36.4%

Profit+4.45u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Redcar Athletic - Darlington 1883	3.10	13.12%
WIN	FUS Rabat - RSB Berkane	3.30	8.81%
WIN	Presidente Hayes - CS Limpeno	3.40	8.81%
LOSS	Forfar - Montrose	3.25	8.81%
LOSS	Camden Tigers SC - South Coast Flame FC	3.40	8.81%
LOSS	Gremio U20 (W) - Internacional U20 (W)	3.25	9.25%
WIN	Türkiye - USA	3.40	9.25%
LOSS	Swit Szczecin II - Gwardia Koszalin	3.25	9.25%

Pick

1 @ 3.30

Kickoff

Lug 16, 2026 10:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: ELITE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 8.81% • n=117

Confidence V4

CONF V4: ELITE

Exp. ROI V4

8.81% • n=117

Start

Started 15h 44m ago

Updated

Updated 17h 48m ago