Lyon – Lens

Model: TIPPSA

Lyon vs Lens

PREDICTION
2
@ 5.37
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 17, 2026 11:00 PM
ResultWIN0 - 4
StartStarted 54d 13h ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.55% · n=27
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 54d 15h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Lens. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Lens

Shots Rating

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

H
A
Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

63/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds4.06First seen
Current5.58Now
Max odds5.84Highest point
Min odds3.88Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

LyonHOME
VS
LensAWAY
LLWWW
Recent form
WLWDD
Avg goals scored
2.00
1.80
Defensive weakness
2.20
1.20
Shots on target for
5.40
7.20
SoT conceded pressure
5.00
3.40
Home splitL-W-W-W2.25 scored / 2.00 conceded
Away splitW-D-D-L2.00 scored / 1.75 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 5.37. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.55% based on n=27 historical similar picks. The match belongs to France Ligue 1 (fr). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick2
Odd5.37
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.55% · n=27
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Lens has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.
3D: 5.3% 7D: 17.1% 15D: 7.7% 30D: -0.3%
Model insight

Lyon – Lens Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 5.37. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.55% across 27 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The available sample size is still relatively limited, which may increase performance variability. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample1
Win Rate0.0%
Profit-1.00u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
LOSSMan Utd (W) - Brighton (W)5.604.55%
Pick
2 @ 5.37
Kickoff
Mag 17, 2026 11:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.55% • n=27
Start
Started 54d 13h ago
Updated
Updated 54d 15h ago
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