Model: TIPPSH

HJK Helsinki vs KuPS Kuopio

PREDICTION

@ 2.38

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffGiu 27, 2026 6:00 PM

ResultLOSS0 - 4

StartStarted 42d 6h ago

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 42d 8h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is HJK Helsinki. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: HJK HelsinkiGoal/Shots Index — H: — | A: —

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Balanced

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

35/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.30First seen

Current2.38Now

Max odds2.40Highest point

Min odds2.28Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

HJK HelsinkiHOME

KuPS KuopioAWAY

LWDWW

Recent form

WWWDD

Avg goals scored

3.80

2.20

Defensive weakness

2.00

1.00

Shots on target for

8.40

5.20

SoT conceded pressure

4.20

3.80

Home splitL-D-W-W-D3.40 scored / 2.00 conceded

Away splitW-W-D-W-D1.80 scored / 0.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.38. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.59% based on n=2341 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Finland Veikkausliiga (fi). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.38

V2 BandLOWROI 1.59% · n=2341

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to HJK Helsinki's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -15.5% 7D: -2.2% 15D: -5.8% 30D: -3.2%

Model insight

HJK Helsinki – KuPS Kuopio Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.38. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.59% across 2341 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample258

Win Rate42.6%

Profit-4.36u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	MKS Kluczbork - Gornik Polkowice	2.30	1.59%
LOSS	KF Fjallabyggd - KV Vesturbaer	2.57	1.59%
WIN	Vasas SC - Zalaegerszegi TE	2.33	1.59%
LOSS	Minas Boca U20 - EC Villa Real U20	2.45	1.41%
WIN	SK 1923 Gabcikovo - FC Banik Prievidza	2.18	1.31%
LOSS	Ursus Warsawa - MKS Piaseczno	2.26	1.59%
LOSS	Honiara City FC - Malaita Kingz	2.32	1.59%
WIN	FC Karlovy Vary - Sokol Hostoun	2.36	1.59%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
North Star - Logan Lightning	1	2.55	1.59%	23 May 09:00
Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola	1	2.17	1.04%	30 May 18:30
Boca Juniors Reserves - River Plate Reserves	1	2.40	1.59%	05 Jul 19:00
Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United	1	2.17	1.04%	27 Jul 01:00
Juan Pablo II College - Atletico Grau	1	2.33	1.59%	08 Aug 22:30
SKU Amstetten - Admira Wacker	1	2.38	1.59%	09 Aug 10:30
Iwaki FC - FC Imabari	1	2.13	1.04%	09 Aug 11:00
76 Igdir Belediyespor - Fatih Karagumruk	1	2.46	1.59%	09 Aug 18:00

Pick

1 @ 2.38

Kickoff

Giu 27, 2026 6:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.59% • n=2341

Start

Started 42d 6h ago

Updated

Updated 42d 8h ago