Macau Chiba FC – Cheng Fung

Model: TipTromba2H

Macau Chiba FC vs Cheng Fung

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.73
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 05, 2026 3:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 8h 9m
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.89% · n=1157
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.89% · n=1157
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 7h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Macau Chiba FC. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Macau Chiba FC

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

14/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.73First seen
Current1.73Now
Max odds1.74Highest point
Min odds1.73Lowest point
VolatilityLowStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Macau Chiba FCHOME
VS
Cheng FungAWAY
LWWWD
Recent form
LDLDD
Avg goals scored
3.20
1.20
Defensive weakness
1.40
2.80
Shots on target for
8.00
3.40
SoT conceded pressure
5.60
8.40
Home splitW-W-L4.00 scored / 2.00 conceded
Away splitL-D-D-W-L1.00 scored / 1.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.73. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.89% based on n=1157 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Macau 1st Division (mo). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Low volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.73
V2 BandNONEROI -1.89% · n=1157
V4 BandNONEROI -1.89% · n=1157
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The low odds suggest strong market confidence, and the available form indicators generally support that view. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Macau Chiba FC's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 13.6% 7D: 40.2% 15D: 21.8% 30D: 10.8%
Model insight

Macau Chiba FC – Cheng Fung Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.73. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.89% and -1.89%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample354
Win Rate65.8%
Profit+20.33u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINBrasil de Pelotas - Santa Cruz RS1.60-3.38%
WINClub Brugge - KV Kortrijk1.53-3.38%
WINMidtjylland - Silkeborg IF1.50-3.82%
WINFukuyama City FC - SRC Hiroshima1.53-1.89%
LOSSSK Sturm Graz - FC Kosice1.50-1.89%
LOSSFK Jablonec - FK Usti nad Labem1.50-1.89%
WINLions FC (W) - Brisbane Olympic FC (W)1.67-3.38%
WINSalvo SC (W) - St Croix SC (W)1.57-3.82%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
APIA Leichardt (W) - NWS Spirit (W)11.65-1.89%05 Jul 08:50
Ha Noi (W) - Ha Nam (W)11.57-3.82%05 Jul 11:00
CA Douglas Haig - Sportivo Las Parejas11.70-3.38%05 Jul 20:00
Pick
1 @ 1.73
Kickoff
Lug 05, 2026 3:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.89% • n=1157
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-1.89% • n=1157
Start
Starts in 8h 9m
Updated
Updated 7h ago
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