Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa – MS Ashdod

Model: TipTromba35H

Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa vs MS Ashdod

PREDICTION
1
@ 3.30
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 03, 2026 9:00 PM
ResultLOSS0 - 2
StartStarted 1h 36m ago
V2 ConfidenceMEDIUMExpected ROI 4.14% · n=423
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 4h 48m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Maccabi Kabilio JaffaGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.062 | A: -0.071

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

52/100
Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.60First seen
Current3.46Now
Max odds4.17Highest point
Min odds3.45Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Maccabi Kabilio JaffaHOME
VS
MS AshdodAWAY
LWDWW
Recent form
WWLWL
Avg goals scored
3.20
1.60
Defensive weakness
1.60
1.40
Shots on target for
7.40
5.80
SoT conceded pressure
6.00
4.60
Home splitL-W-W-W-W3.20 scored / 1.20 conceded
Away splitW-W-L-D-L1.40 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.30. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM with an expected ROI of 4.14% based on n=423 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Israel League Cup (il). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd3.30
V2 BandMEDIUMROI 4.14% · n=423
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendDropping
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. The model gives this selection a reasonable profile, although the confidence level remains measured. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 39.2% 7D: 11.3% 15D: 5.2% 30D: 10.8%
Model insight

Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa – MS Ashdod Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 3.30. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba35H model profile. The V2 confidence band is MEDIUM, with a historical expected ROI of 4.14% across 423 similar predictions. Historical expected profitability for this profile is positive, but the edge appears more moderate. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample168
Win Rate27.4%
Profit-17.24u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINHartlepool - Fleetwood Town3.334.14%
WINFeyenoord - Atalanta3.304.14%
WINAthletic Bilbao B - Cultural Leonesa3.254.14%
LOSSItabirito U20 - Athletic Club MG U203.404.14%
LOSSColeraine - HJK Helsinki3.403.56%
LOSSKomeetat - JJK/23.302.05%
WINKTS Weszlo - Lechia Tomaszow Mazowiecki3.102.17%
WINDeportes Concepcion - Universidad Catolica3.404.14%
Pick
1 @ 3.30
Kickoff
Ago 03, 2026 9:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: MEDIUM
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 4.14% • n=423
Start
Started 1h 36m ago
Updated
Updated 4h 48m ago
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