Model: TIPPSH

FC Emmen vs Roda JC

PREDICTION

@ 2.28

StatusUpcoming

KickoffAgo 07, 2026 10:00 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 4d

V2 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 8.94% · n=311

V4 ConfidenceELITEExpected ROI 8.94% · n=311

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 5m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is FC Emmen. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: FC EmmenGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.016 | A: 0.052

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

59/100

Good value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds2.35First seen

Current2.28Now

Max odds2.35Highest point

Min odds2.28Lowest point

VolatilityLowStable range

TrendDroppingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

FC EmmenHOME

Roda JCAWAY

WLLWD

Recent form

LDDWD

Avg goals scored

1.80

2.80

Defensive weakness

1.60

1.20

Shots on target for

5.20

5.00

SoT conceded pressure

5.80

8.20

Home splitW-L-W-W1.75 scored / 1.00 conceded

Away splitD-D-W-D-L2.40 scored / 0.80 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 2.28. The V4 confidence band is ELITE with an expected ROI of 8.94% based on n=311 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Netherlands Eerste Divisie (nl). Odds movement is currently classified as Dropping with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd2.28

V2 BandELITEROI 8.94% · n=311

V4 BandELITEROI 8.94% · n=311

Odds TrendDropping

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The matchup looks relatively balanced, so the value of the pick depends more on the model profile than on a clear form advantage. Historical model data adds support here, as similar ELITE selections have produced encouraging results.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.

3D: 39.2% 7D: 11.3% 15D: 5.2% 30D: 10.8%

Model insight

FC Emmen – Roda JC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 2.28. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show ELITE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 8.94% and 8.94%. Historical expected profitability for this profile has been well above average, although future outcomes remain sensitive to market and team-news conditions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample19

Win Rate63.2%

Profit+8.89u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	AZS UJ Krakow (W) - Slask Wroclaw (W)	2.40	8.94%
WIN	Versailles 78 - FC Fleury 91	2.15	8.87%
WIN	Valentine Phoenix - Charlestown Azzurri	2.46	8.94%
LOSS	ND Beltinci - Sharjah SCC	2.44	8.94%
WIN	Spokane Velocity FC - Charlotte Independence	2.27	8.94%
LOSS	Servette - Basel	2.40	8.94%
WIN	Dalian Young Boy - Shandong Taishan	2.28	8.94%
LOSS	Farul Constanta - Otelul Galati	2.30	8.94%

Active Similar Predictions

Match	Pick	Odd	Exp. ROI	Kickoff
FC Arges Pitesti - Petrolul Ploiesti	1	2.43	8.94%	24 Jul 20:30

Pick

1 @ 2.28

Kickoff

Ago 07, 2026 10:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: ELITE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 8.94% • n=311

Confidence V4

CONF V4: ELITE

Exp. ROI V4

8.94% • n=311

Start

Starts in 4d

Updated

Updated 5m ago