Model: TIPPSH

Malmo FF vs Elfsborg

PREDICTION

@ 1.92

StatusUpcoming

KickoffLug 26, 2026 6:30 PM

ResultPending

StartStarts in 8h 10m

V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=746

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 13m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Malmo FF. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Malmo FFGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.088 | A: -0.070

Shots Rating

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

27/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds1.87First seen

Current1.92Now

Max odds1.92Highest point

Min odds1.85Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Malmo FFHOME

ElfsborgAWAY

DWWDW

Recent form

LLLDD

Avg goals scored

2.80

0.80

Defensive weakness

1.20

1.60

Shots on target for

5.80

3.20

SoT conceded pressure

4.60

5.20

Home splitW-D-W-L-L3.00 scored / 2.00 conceded

Away splitL-D-D-D-L0.80 scored / 1.20 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.92. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=746 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Sweden Allsvenskan (se). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.92

V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=746

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

In a fairly competitive price range, recent form gives Malmo FF a useful statistical edge. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence. Malmo FF has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is positive. Recent Combo selections remain profitable across multiple recent windows, indicating stable short-term performance.

3D: -13.6% 7D: 3.6% 15D: 10.5% 30D: 20.3%

Model insight

Malmo FF – Elfsborg Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.92. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 746 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample388

Win Rate47.2%

Profit-31.89u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
LOSS	Wolverhampton - Real Sociedad	2.07	1.31%
LOSS	NEC - Elversberg	2.00	1.31%
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LOSS	Inter Lions - Prospect United	2.00	1.31%
LOSS	Oxford City - Walton & Hersham	1.95	1.31%
LOSS	Albirex Niigata - Montedio Yamagata	2.05	1.04%
WIN	Internacional (W) - Fluminense RJ (W)	1.99	1.04%
WIN	SD Atletico Nacional - San Francisco Reserves	1.99	1.04%

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Pick

1 @ 1.92

Kickoff

Lug 26, 2026 6:30 PM

Confidence

CONF: LOW

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=746

Start

Starts in 8h 10m

Updated

Updated 13m ago