Model: TIPPSH
Yunnan Yukun vs Shenzhen Xinpengcheng
PREDICTION
1
@ 1.93
StatusUpcoming
KickoffLug 26, 2026 3:00 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 3d 9h
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.31% · n=2537
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 15h 6m ago
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Yunnan Yukun. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Yunnan YukunGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.073 | A: -0.013Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
28/100
Odds Movement
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.84First seen
Current1.93Now
Max odds1.95Highest point
Min odds1.84Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Yunnan YukunHOME
VS
Shenzhen XinpengchengAWAY
DDLWL
Recent form
DLWLL
Avg goals scored
2.40
1.20
Defensive weakness
2.80
1.80
Shots on target for
6.60
5.80
SoT conceded pressure
6.20
5.00
Home splitD-D-W-L-W2.00 scored / 1.80 conceded
Away splitD-L-L-W-W1.20 scored / 1.60 conceded
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.93. The V4 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.31% based on n=2537 historical similar picks. The match belongs to China Super League (cn). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.
Pick1
Odd1.93
V2 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
V4 BandLOWROI 1.31% · n=2537
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityMedium
AI Match Insight
Recent form does not create a strong separation, making the confidence band especially important here. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction.
Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 19.5%
7D: 27.2%
15D: 21.1%
30D: 21.7%
Model insight
Yunnan Yukun – Shenzhen Xinpengcheng Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.93. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show LOW confidence, with historical expected ROI values of 1.31% and 1.31%. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample366
Win Rate47.5%
Profit-26.99u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Philadelphia Union - New York Red Bulls | 1.75 | 1.31% |
| WIN | RB Keflavik - KB Breidholt | 1.96 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Velez Sarsfield Reserves - CA Talleres de Córdoba Reserves | 1.85 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Penarol Reserves - Racing Club de Montevideo Reserves | 2.13 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Al Ansar Beirut - Al Nejmeh | 2.17 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Flint City Bucks - Steel City | 1.81 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Arsenal Tula - Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk | 1.79 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Macara - Deportivo Cuenca | 2.01 | 1.04% |
Active Similar Predictions
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Fujian Nanan (W) - Dalian (W) | 1 | 1.85 | 1.04% | 23 Jul 08:00 |
| Athletic Club MG - Sao Bernardo SP | 1 | 2.14 | 1.04% | 24 Jul 00:30 |
| New York Red Bulls II - Crown Legacy | 1 | 2.09 | 1.04% | 25 Jul 01:00 |
| Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United | 1 | 1.97 | 1.04% | 25 Jul 02:00 |
| Liaoning Ironman - Qingdao West Coast | 1 | 2.16 | 1.04% | 25 Jul 13:35 |
| KuPS Kuopio - VPS Vaasa | 1 | 1.83 | 1.04% | 25 Jul 16:00 |
Pick
1 @ 1.93
Kickoff
Lug 26, 2026 3:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.31% • n=2537
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
1.31% • n=2537
Start
Starts in 3d 9h
Updated
Updated 15h 6m ago