Model: TIPPSA

Malmo FF vs Mjällby AIF

PREDICTION

@ 3.20

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 03, 2026 4:00 PM

ResultWIN2 - 3

StartStarted 70d 8h ago

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.51% · n=382

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 70d 18h ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Mjällby AIF. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Mjällby AIF

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

35/100

Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

Start odds3.15First seen

Current3.20Now

Max odds3.20Highest point

Min odds3.10Lowest point

VolatilityMediumStable range

TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Malmo FFHOME

Mjällby AIFAWAY

LWLWW

Recent form

WWDWL

Avg goals scored

1.80

1.60

Defensive weakness

1.40

0.80

Shots on target for

4.00

5.00

SoT conceded pressure

6.00

4.40

Home splitL-L-W2.33 scored / 2.33 conceded

Away splitW-D-L1.00 scored / 1.67 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 2 at odds 3.20. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -0.51% based on n=382 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Sweden Allsvenskan (se). Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with Medium volatility.

Pick2

Odd3.20

V2 BandNONEROI -0.51% · n=382

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendRising

VolatilityMedium

AI Match Insight

From a statistical perspective, the difference between the two teams may be smaller than the current price indicates. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Mjällby AIF's attacking profile.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.

3D: -22.2% 7D: -17.3% 15D: -3.7% 30D: 11.4%

Model insight

Malmo FF – Mjällby AIF Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.20. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -0.51% across 382 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample38

Win Rate39.5%

Profit+8.42u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Anapolis FC - Botafogo PB	3.10	-1.07%
WIN	FC Haka - KTP	2.97	-1.07%
LOSS	Avai - Cuiaba	3.20	-1.07%
WIN	Sao Bernardo SP - EC Juventude	3.22	-1.07%
LOSS	Tianjin Shengde (W) - Chongqing Olympic (W)	3.43	-0.79%
LOSS	Belgrano (W) - CA Talleres de Cordoba (W)	3.02	-1.07%
WIN	Academia Puerto Cabello II - Zamora II	3.15	-1.07%
LOSS	PSG - Arsenal	3.12	-1.07%

Pick

2 @ 3.20

Kickoff

Mag 03, 2026 4:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -0.51% • n=382

Start

Started 70d 8h ago

Updated

Updated 70d 18h ago