Model: TIPPSA
Malmo FF – Mjällby AIF
PREDICTION
2
@ 3.20
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffMag 03, 2026 4:00 PM
ResultWIN2 - 3
StartStarted 23d 20h ago
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -0.51% · n=382
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 24d 6h ago
Team Form & Goal Trends
Recent form based on completed matches before kickoff.
| Metric | Malmo FF | Mjällby AIF |
|---|---|---|
| Last 5 form | L-W-L-W-W | W-W-D-W-L |
| Avg goals scored | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Avg goals conceded | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Home/Away form | L-L-W (home) | W-D-L (away) |
| Home/Away avg goals | 2.33 scored / 2.33 conceded | 1.00 scored / 1.67 conceded |
| Shots on target | 4.00 for / 6.00 against | 5.00 for / 4.40 against |
| Home/Away shots on target | 5.00 for / 5.00 against (home) | 5.67 for / 5.33 against (away) |
AI Match Insight
Although the selection comes at relatively high odds, the recent statistical profile appears more balanced than the market suggests. This selection carries a lower-confidence signal, so the risk profile remains elevated. Shot-on-target data gives additional support to Mjällby AIF's attacking profile.
Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds3.15First seen
Current3.20Now
Max odds3.20Highest point
Min odds3.10Lowest point
VolatilityMediumStable range
TrendRisingShort term
Model insight
Malmo FF – Mjällby AIF Betting Analysis
The model currently selects 2 at odds 3.20. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSA model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -0.51% across 382 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample30
Win Rate36.7%
Profit+3.98u
Historical Similar Predictions
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Siroki Brijeg U19 - FK Zvijezda 09 U19 | 3.15 | -1.07% |
| WIN | Hibernian - Motherwell | 3.17 | -0.51% |
| LOSS | IF Gnistan - FF Jaro | 3.03 | -0.51% |
| WIN | Rebordosa - SC Vianense | 3.14 | -0.51% |
| LOSS | Spartak Varna - Slavia Sofia | 3.09 | -0.51% |
| LOSS | Lucerne - Servette | 3.07 | -0.51% |
| WIN | Brommapojkarna (W) - Eskilstuna Utd (W) | 2.95 | -0.51% |
| LOSS | Persis Solo - Persebaya Surabaya | 3.32 | -1.78% |
Pick
2 @ 3.20
Kickoff
Mag 03, 2026 4:00 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -0.51% • n=382
Start
Started 23d 20h ago
Updated
Updated 24d 6h ago