Model: TipTromba2H

Moggill vs North Lakes United

PREDICTION

@ 1.73

StatusArchived prediction

KickoffMag 17, 2026 12:00 PM

ResultWIN4 - 0

StartStarted 55d 22h ago

V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -2.88% · n=947

V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0

Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.

Updated Updated 58d ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Moggill. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Moggill

Shots Rating

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Shots on Target

Rating unavailable for this archived pick.

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

11/100

Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

MoggillHOME

North Lakes UnitedAWAY

WLWDW

Recent form

LLLWW

Avg goals scored

3.60

2.40

Defensive weakness

1.20

2.80

Shots on target for

11.00

10.20

SoT conceded pressure

4.40

12.60

Home splitW-W-W4.67 scored / 0.33 conceded

Away splitL-W-W-W2.50 scored / 2.25 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.73. The V2 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -2.88% based on n=947 historical similar picks. The match belongs to Australia Queensland Premier League 3 (au). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with Low volatility.

Pick1

Odd1.73

V2 BandNONEROI -2.88% · n=947

V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0

Odds TrendStable

VolatilityLow

AI Match Insight

The short price is supported by recent form data, with Moggill showing a clearer performance edge. If considered, this pick should be approached with caution due to the limited historical confidence.

Current Combo momentum is mixed. Recent results show alternating performance between short-term and medium-term windows.

3D: 23.6% 7D: 13.8% 15D: -4.2% 30D: -2.0%

Model insight

Moggill – North Lakes United Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.73. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. The V2 confidence band is NONE, with a historical expected ROI of -2.88% across 947 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. Odds history is still limited because this prediction has only recently appeared in the monitored bookmaker panel. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.

Sample370

Win Rate65.7%

Profit+20.62u

Historical Similar Predictions

Result	Match	Odd	Exp. ROI
WIN	Chapecoense U20 - Figueirense U20	1.70	-3.82%
LOSS	Ironbound - Manhattan SC	1.65	-1.89%
LOSS	Seacoast United Phantoms - AC Connecticut	1.60	-1.89%
WIN	FC Copenhagen - AC Horsens	1.67	-1.89%
WIN	Managua FC - Rancho Santana FC	1.62	-3.38%
LOSS	Rhode Island FC - Brooklyn FC	1.50	-3.38%
WIN	FC Tucson - Capo FC	1.70	-1.89%
WIN	Canterbury Bankstown FC - Prospect United	1.50	-1.89%

Pick

1 @ 1.73

Kickoff

Mag 17, 2026 12:00 PM

Confidence

CONF: NONE

Exp. ROI V2

Exp. ROI -2.88% • n=947

Start

Started 55d 22h ago

Updated

Updated 58d ago