Mohun Bagan SG II vs Bhawanipore FC
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Mohun Bagan SG II. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: Mohun Bagan SG IIGoal/Shots Index — H: -0.060 | A: 0.160Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 3.00. The V4 confidence band is HIGH with an expected ROI of 5.42% based on n=195 historical similar picks. The match belongs to India Calcutta Football League (in). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The current odds underline the speculative nature of the pick, particularly given the recent form imbalance. The HIGH confidence band is important here: similar higher-priced setups have historically produced positive model results. Mohun Bagan SG II has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.
Mohun Bagan SG II – Bhawanipore FC Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOSS | Doce Mel EC (W) - Taubate (W) | 3.10 | 5.42% |
| WIN | Dynamo Dresden - Union Berlin | 3.10 | 5.42% |
| WIN | IF Boljan - Västra Frölunda IF | 3.10 | 5.42% |
| WIN | Burkina Faso (W) - Tanzania (W) | 3.00 | 5.42% |
| LOSS | Yangpyeong FC - Busan Trans Corp | 3.00 | 5.42% |
| WIN | Pollok - East Stirlingshire | 3.00 | 5.42% |
| WIN | Puerto Montt - Huachipato | 3.10 | 5.42% |
| WIN | Polissya Zhytomyr - Sabah | 3.00 | 5.42% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Real Jaen - Cordoba | 1 | 3.10 | 5.42% | 06 Aug 20:00 |
| Magic United - Rochedale Rovers | 1 | 3.09 | 5.42% | 08 Aug 10:00 |