Motagua – CD FAS

Model: TIPPSH

Motagua vs CD FAS

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.99
StatusArchived prediction
KickoffAgo 07, 2026 7:00 AM
ResultWIN1 - 0
StartStarted 8h 9m ago
V2 ConfidenceLOWExpected ROI 1.04% · n=746
V4 ConfidenceUNKNOWNExpected ROI 0.00% · n=0
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 10h 23m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Motagua. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: MotaguaGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.139 | A: 0.154

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Balanced

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.

28/100
Low value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.80First seen
Current1.99Now
Max odds2.13Highest point
Min odds1.67Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendRisingShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

MotaguaHOME
VS
CD FASAWAY
WWWLD
Recent form
LWLWW
Avg goals scored
1.80
2.00
Defensive weakness
0.20
0.80
Shots on target for
4.60
4.80
SoT conceded pressure
1.60
3.00
Home splitW-D-W-L-W1.80 scored / 0.80 conceded
Away splitL-W-L-W-W2.00 scored / 0.60 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.99. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=746 historical similar picks. The match belongs to CONCACAF Central American Cup. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.99
V2 BandLOWROI 1.04% · n=746
V4 BandUNKNOWNROI 0.00% · n=0
Odds TrendRising
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.

Current Combo momentum is strong. Recent model performance has improved significantly over the last 7-15 days, suggesting the system is currently adapting well to recent match conditions.
3D: 6.1% 7D: 31.9% 15D: 6.0% 30D: 11.7%
Model insight

Motagua – CD FAS Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.99. This prediction is generated by the TIPPSH model profile. The V2 confidence band is LOW, with a historical expected ROI of 1.04% across 746 similar predictions. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. The market moved significantly against the initial model price before kickoff. Historically, large late odds increases may indicate external factors not fully captured by the statistical framework. High pre-match volatility suggests increased uncertainty and rapidly changing market conditions. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample537
Win Rate48.8%
Profit-22.66u
Historical Similar Predictions
ResultMatchOddExp. ROI
WINGold Coast United (W) - Capalaba (W)1.811.04%
LOSSThor/THK/Vols/Magni U19 - Throttur Reykjavik/SR/Hamar U192.011.04%
WINFreiburg (W) - Nurnberg (W)1.821.31%
WINAcademia Puerto Cabello - Caracas1.851.04%
WINMonaco - Getafe1.961.04%
WINQueanbeyan City - Tuggeranong Utd1.921.31%
LOSSFluminense - Vasco da Gama2.211.04%
LOSSQueanbeyan City U23 - Tuggeranong United U231.881.31%
Active Similar Predictions
MatchPickOddExp. ROIKickoff
Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola12.171.04%30 May 18:30
Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves11.991.31%05 Jul 16:00
Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United12.171.04%27 Jul 01:00
VG-62 - MaPS12.061.04%07 Aug 17:30
SCR Altach - WSG Swarovski Tirol12.161.31%07 Aug 19:30
Grindavik/Njardvik (W) - IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W)12.071.04%07 Aug 20:00
Wisla Krakow - Wisla Plock11.841.31%07 Aug 20:30
UCD - Wexford FC12.051.04%07 Aug 20:45
Pick
1 @ 1.99
Kickoff
Ago 07, 2026 7:00 AM
Confidence
CONF: LOW
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI 1.04% • n=746
Start
Started 8h 9m ago
Updated
Updated 10h 23m ago
Torna in alto