Motagua vs CD FAS
📊 Match Analysis
Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.
Game Context
The model side is Motagua. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.
Edge: MotaguaGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.139 | A: 0.154Value Index
Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V2) and market odds.
Odds Movement
📊 Team Form (Last 5)
Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.
Quick Analysis
The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.99. The V2 confidence band is LOW with an expected ROI of 1.04% based on n=746 historical similar picks. The match belongs to CONCACAF Central American Cup. Odds movement is currently classified as Rising with High volatility.
AI Match Insight
The price and recent metrics both point to a relatively open contest. The model does not assign a strong confidence profile here, making the pick more speculative.
Motagua – CD FAS Betting Analysis
| Result | Match | Odd | Exp. ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | Gold Coast United (W) - Capalaba (W) | 1.81 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Thor/THK/Vols/Magni U19 - Throttur Reykjavik/SR/Hamar U19 | 2.01 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Freiburg (W) - Nurnberg (W) | 1.82 | 1.31% |
| WIN | Academia Puerto Cabello - Caracas | 1.85 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Monaco - Getafe | 1.96 | 1.04% |
| WIN | Queanbeyan City - Tuggeranong Utd | 1.92 | 1.31% |
| LOSS | Fluminense - Vasco da Gama | 2.21 | 1.04% |
| LOSS | Queanbeyan City U23 - Tuggeranong United U23 | 1.88 | 1.31% |
| Match | Pick | Odd | Exp. ROI | Kickoff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers - Union Espanola | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 30 May 18:30 |
| Velez Sarsfield Reserves - Racing Club Reserves | 1 | 1.99 | 1.31% | 05 Jul 16:00 |
| Birmingham Legion FC - New Mexico United | 1 | 2.17 | 1.04% | 27 Jul 01:00 |
| VG-62 - MaPS | 1 | 2.06 | 1.04% | 07 Aug 17:30 |
| SCR Altach - WSG Swarovski Tirol | 1 | 2.16 | 1.31% | 07 Aug 19:30 |
| Grindavik/Njardvik (W) - IBV Vestmannaeyjar (W) | 1 | 2.07 | 1.04% | 07 Aug 20:00 |
| Wisla Krakow - Wisla Plock | 1 | 1.84 | 1.31% | 07 Aug 20:30 |
| UCD - Wexford FC | 1 | 2.05 | 1.04% | 07 Aug 20:45 |