Mohun Bagan SG – Jamshedpur FC

Model: TipTromba2H

Mohun Bagan SG vs Jamshedpur FC

PREDICTION
1
@ 1.70
StatusUpcoming
KickoffAgo 17, 2026 2:30 PM
ResultPending
StartStarts in 11h 39m
V2 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.89% · n=1157
V4 ConfidenceNONEExpected ROI -1.89% · n=1157
Confidence bands summarize the historical reliability of similar model predictions. ROI and sample size refer to previous tips in the same model profile.
Updated Updated 14m ago

📊 Match Analysis

Model explanation based on shots ratings, market context and recent team data.

Game Context

The model side is Mohun Bagan SG. This section focuses on statistical support rather than repeating pick, odds or confidence bands.

Edge: Mohun Bagan SGGoal/Shots Index — H: 0.142 | A: 0.035

Shots Rating

H
A
i

Shot volume edge from recent matches.

Home edge

Shots on Target

H
A
i

Higher weight signal based on shots on target.

Home edge

Value Index

Convenience indicator based on expected ROI (V4) and market odds.

14/100
Poor value

Odds Movement

Odds history (MaxOdd + StochasticOdds)
Start odds1.70First seen
Current1.70Now
Max odds1.85Highest point
Min odds1.70Lowest point
VolatilityHighStable range
TrendStableShort term

📊 Team Form (Last 5)

Recent form and core attacking indicators before kickoff.

Mohun Bagan SGHOME
VS
Jamshedpur FCAWAY
WWWWD
Recent form
WLWDL
Avg goals scored
3.60
2.40
Defensive weakness
0.40
0.60
Shots on target for
7.80
5.20
SoT conceded pressure
2.00
2.20
Home splitW-W-W-D-D3.40 scored / 0.40 conceded
Away splitL0.00 scored / 2.00 conceded

Quick Analysis

The StochasticBet model recommends 1 at odds 1.70. The V4 confidence band is NONE with an expected ROI of -1.89% based on n=1157 historical similar picks. The match belongs to India Durand Cup (in). Odds movement is currently classified as Stable with High volatility.

Pick1
Odd1.70
V2 BandNONEROI -1.89% · n=1157
V4 BandNONEROI -1.89% · n=1157
Odds TrendStable
VolatilityHigh

AI Match Insight

The low odds suggest strong market confidence, and the available form indicators generally support that view. Confidence remains limited, so this should be read as a cautious lean rather than a strong prediction. Mohun Bagan SG has produced stronger recent offensive pressure in terms of shots on target.

Current Combo momentum is weak. Recent short-term performance has been below expectations, suggesting that current match conditions may be less favorable for the model.
3D: -13.0% 7D: -17.4% 15D: -1.9% 30D: 3.2%
Model insight

Mohun Bagan SG – Jamshedpur FC Betting Analysis

The model currently selects 1 at odds 1.70. This prediction is generated by the TipTromba2H model profile. Both V2 and V4 profiles currently show NONE confidence, with historical expected ROI values of -1.89% and -1.89%. Historical performance for this profile has been negative or unstable, so this signal should be treated with additional caution. The model profile is supported by a broad historical sample, making the long-term estimate more informative. The odds history chart above summarizes market movement, volatility and the latest available price before kickoff. The bookmaker panel currently monitored by StochasticBet includes Bet365, Pinnacle, Bwin, Unibet and 1XBet. Market movement remained relatively stable before kickoff, suggesting balanced sentiment around the initial model projection. Moderate odds volatility indicates some market disagreement during the pre-match phase. Model performance can deteriorate during unstable football calendar phases, such as early-season matches, post-international-break rounds and late-season fixtures with unusual motivation or rotation patterns.
Sample526
Win Rate64.3%
Profit+16.35u
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WINInstituto Cordoba U20 - Quilmes U201.70-1.89%
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Pick
1 @ 1.70
Kickoff
Ago 17, 2026 2:30 PM
Confidence
CONF: NONE
Exp. ROI V2
Exp. ROI -1.89% • n=1157
Confidence V4
Exp. ROI V4
-1.89% • n=1157
Start
Starts in 11h 39m
Updated
Updated 14m ago
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